TailMyPicks
Market

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Supernova, Winthrop University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Winthrop University50c20,000$9,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,003.4692254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Supernova50c18,125$9,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,062.3690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Winthrop University64c4,794$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.932,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9c…4da5backed Winthrop University79c4,559$3,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.121656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked Supernova26c4,000$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.889750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Supernova39c3,330$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30058457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Supernova57c2,884$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.646258.4%270 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2578…b2a6backed Winthrop University75c2,629$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.866245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Winthrop University43c1,688$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.5290937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Winthrop University50c1,548$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.511,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Supernova6c1,388$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.791,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Supernova36c1,364$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48513538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Winthrop University67c1,355$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.7952543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Supernova61c1,345$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.422,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a59…184ebacked Supernova10c1,294$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed Supernova30c961.32$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Supernova42c880.25$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5942540.7%173 W · 252 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Winthrop University73c871.98$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.741,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Supernova58c816.93$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.0915731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Winthrop University36c810.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Winthrop University53c751.96$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4284360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Supernova43c746.25$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.022,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Supernova60c664.79$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022462.1%139 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Supernova36c634.04$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.931,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Supernova35c559.64$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.825448.1%26 W · 28 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Supernova5c555.78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ee…878ebacked Supernova34c543.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8413857.2%79 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe355…a1f9backed Supernova28c537.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Supernova42c510.89$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.522629.2%66 W · 160 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University58c508$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.286943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Supernova33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Supernova71c499.98$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9963646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Winthrop University67c476.04$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.091,01447.6%483 W · 531 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Supernova43c469.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Winthrop University53c454.56$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.651,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Winthrop University62c418.5$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.547453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Winthrop University39c410.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.291,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Supernova25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Supernova30c399.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9925345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Winthrop University64c388.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1141060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Winthrop University52c387.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Winthrop University74c362.89$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7163540.2%255 W · 380 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed Supernova50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Winthrop University41c348$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3260053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…7a64backed Supernova59c346.92$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Winthrop University41c344.19$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5217439.1%68 W · 106 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Supernova60c332.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009736.1%35 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Supernova63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Winthrop University64c308.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6835546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c34…5001backed Winthrop University41c306.55$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Supernova35c305.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.17653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Winthrop University70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9027865.8%183 W · 95 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Winthrop University36c279.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+41.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Winthrop University55c276$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.265047.4%308 W · 342 L+24.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc0…9d48backed Supernova28c256.04$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.522650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Supernova79c251.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013171%93 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Supernova63c249.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.520154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Winthrop University31c231.55$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8615829.7%47 W · 111 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c7…f276backed Supernova61c227.69$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.71944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Winthrop University55c224.03$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.42,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Winthrop University77c216.43$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5613454.5%73 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Winthrop University62c215.74$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.532564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd755…d794backed Winthrop University50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1055358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Winthrop University54c208.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.011,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…a140backed Supernova31c208.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.547339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Winthrop University61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad86…4de1backed Supernova19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387227.8%20 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Supernova44c195.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8647630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b2…195abacked Supernova50c195.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510240.2%41 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Supernova34c193.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6592342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd142…5c9ebacked Supernova77c192.21$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14825942.1%109 W · 150 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked Supernova73c191.35$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022558.2%131 W · 94 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Supernova53c188.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Winthrop University76c188.39$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.216159%36 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Supernova9c184$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.841140%0 W · 114 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e4…7161backed Supernova23c182.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce51…1ddbbacked Winthrop University57c178.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9512657.9%73 W · 53 L+10.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University58c178.46$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University53c176.35$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.761,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Winthrop University45c176$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.254450%22 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Winthrop University46c173.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Winthrop University50c172.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.892,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Winthrop University37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.83831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Winthrop University36c159.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.476129%221 W · 540 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked Supernova64c155.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Supernova34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6526859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Supernova23c149$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.681,13130.1%340 W · 791 L-26.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Winthrop University66c147.5$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.527244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0817…b071backed Supernova15c145.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.824214.3%6 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…4b3bbacked Supernova69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Supernova70c143.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034960.7%212 W · 137 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Supernova35c143.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Supernova36c138.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked Supernova60c135$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818461.9%52 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Winthrop University23c133.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.222334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Winthrop University39c132.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7829940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Winthrop University54c121.67$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d86…a6f9backed Supernova63c120.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7627432.5%89 W · 185 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Supernova46c118.12$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5449451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a9…40eabacked Winthrop University41c117.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.