Lol · resolved market

LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 3 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79469cd57aab8014053e8f8d3c35cba348f05f32a57c6f001c32e51ed7b4ba12

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Winthrop Universityof Supernova, Winthrop University
Resolved: May 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $28,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,623 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Supernova	73c	10,000$7,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,331.68	918	54%496 W · 422 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Winthrop University	28c	3,726$1,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,682.51	903	48.4%437 W · 466 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Supernova	56c	1,222$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683	135	38.5%52 W · 83 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Supernova	56c	1,130$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.8	462	58.4%270 W · 192 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Winthrop University	54c	1,119$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.48	1,218	58.1%708 W · 510 L	+44.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Winthrop University	51c	1,000$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.8	353	46.7%165 W · 188 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Winthrop University	30c	911.64$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.01	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Winthrop University	75c	809.23$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.23	579	57.9%335 W · 244 L	+25.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Winthrop University	38c	771.34$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.4	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Supernova	53c	756.89$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	370	39.5%146 W · 224 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Winthrop University	52c	734.89$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.89	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University	46c	655.58$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.26	869	43.2%375 W · 494 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…bbc3backed Winthrop University	48c	626.4$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.4	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Winthrop University	26c	568.05$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.14	322	53.1%171 W · 151 L	+19.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Winthrop University	20c	499.99$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401	722	34.1%246 W · 476 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed Winthrop University	55c	444.15$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.87	379	57.5%218 W · 161 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Winthrop University	48c	417.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.06	272	44.1%120 W · 152 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Winthrop University	45c	403.93$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.18	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Supernova	53c	399.99$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.48	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Winthrop University	34c	382.79$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.6	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Supernova	61c	373.87$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.54	425	40.7%173 W · 252 L	-17.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Winthrop University	35c	369.34$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.34	325	66.5%216 W · 109 L	+26.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Winthrop University	28c	369.11$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.11	238	49.2%117 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Supernova	66c	355.92$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.19	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Winthrop University	34c	300$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	744	62.2%463 W · 281 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Winthrop University	50c	296.02$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.35	950	48.5%461 W · 489 L	+26.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Supernova	51c	221.14$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	600	53.2%319 W · 281 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Winthrop University	46c	216.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.85	157	31.2%49 W · 108 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Supernova	54c	216.39$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.85	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-9.3wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Supernova	33c	199.71$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.78	476	30.7%146 W · 330 L	-13.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Winthrop University	10c	198$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.68	601	24.1%145 W · 456 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Winthrop University	34c	180.6$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.62	507	45%228 W · 279 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Supernova	53c	178.3$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.52	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-7.8wins	-0.17per pick	56cpaid	-35%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Winthrop University	41c	167.56$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.86	432	33.8%146 W · 286 L	-20.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x466b…7fd3backed Winthrop University	55c	154.72$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.9	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Supernova	51c	143.27$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.34	1,899	37.1%705 W · 1,194 L	-113.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Supernova	64c	125.54$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	-7.6wins	-0.14per pick	62cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Winthrop University	56c	123$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.12	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Supernova	54c	111.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	798	64.3%513 W · 285 L	+32.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Supernova	47c	111.5$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.08	1,922	42.2%811 W · 1,111 L	-45.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Supernova	56c	111.19$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.37	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Supernova	13c	108.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	151	35.8%54 W · 97 L	-7.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Winthrop University	42c	101.75$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.75	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Supernova	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.99	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Winthrop University	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	760	28.9%220 W · 540 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e0a…8521backed Supernova	36c	93.44$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Supernova	38c	79.7$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	698	41.8%292 W · 406 L	+46.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5353…649cbacked Winthrop University	70c	77.93$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.46	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-7.1wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Supernova	40c	77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	1,671	57.9%968 W · 703 L	+70.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Supernova	40c	74.87$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,443	43.4%626 W · 817 L	+105.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Supernova	57c	70.45$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Supernova	60c	69.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked Supernova	36c	68.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Winthrop University	49c	65.5$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.41	753	42.5%320 W · 433 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3073…3413backed Winthrop University	46c	65.22$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.22	189	60.3%114 W · 75 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Winthrop University	48c	59.41$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.96	751	50.7%381 W · 370 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Winthrop University	49c	56.11$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.62	295	54.2%160 W · 135 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Winthrop University	55c	55.03$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.03	334	53.9%180 W · 154 L	+17.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78db…a291backed Winthrop University	74c	55$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Winthrop University	28c	50$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked Supernova	23c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	402	45.8%184 W · 218 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc4…e2b9backed Winthrop University	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed Supernova	47c	49.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.39	1,247	52.8%659 W · 588 L	+15.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Supernova	57c	38.71$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	461	53.6%247 W · 214 L	-24.4wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Supernova	46c	38.25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	642	47.4%304 W · 338 L	+24.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Winthrop University	44c	37.06$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.79	249	59.8%149 W · 100 L	+18.2wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Winthrop University	45c	33.11$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.11	618	49.8%308 W · 310 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Supernova	40c	27.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	738	51.5%380 W · 358 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ef…8444backed Winthrop University	55c	27.27$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.27	78	60.3%47 W · 31 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Supernova	50c	27.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.56	395	7.1%28 W · 367 L	-122.2wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Winthrop University	42c	24$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.92	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Supernova	43c	23.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	227	58.1%132 W · 95 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…a9f1backed Supernova	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	166	53.6%89 W · 77 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Winthrop University	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…1bfebacked Winthrop University	68c	18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.76	251	65.7%165 W · 86 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 3 Winnerthis page
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsWinthrop University won
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerSupernova won
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 4 WinnerSupernova won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 3 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event