Lol · resolved market
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9868077ffa86302a2f647f64e1c3c4e9acd4bf84d2fdae8c62d0ffef272e74a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Winthrop Universityof Supernova, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Winthrop University | 48c | 8,000$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.12 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Supernova | 52c | 3,244$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.11 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Winthrop University | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Supernova | 53c | 1,207$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.42 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Winthrop University | 51c | 1,172$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.22 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Supernova | 67c | 1,039$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.16 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Supernova | 63c | 944.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Supernova | 50c | 785.71$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.47 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Supernova | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Supernova | 71c | 595.59$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.47 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Supernova | 39c | 551.15$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.09 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Winthrop University | 44c | 512.6$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.46 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Supernova | 46c | 496.28$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.51 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Supernova | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Winthrop University | 62c | 320.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Supernova | 50c | 306.82$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Supernova | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Supernova | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Supernova | 57c | 200.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University | 54c | 176.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University | 47c | 174.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Supernova | 59c | 173.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Supernova | 67c | 169.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Supernova | 7c | 156.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Supernova | 50c | 153.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Supernova | 59c | 139.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Supernova | 64c | 129.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Supernova | 55c | 123.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Supernova | 63c | 105.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Supernova | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 402 | 45.8%184 W · 218 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Winthrop University | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Supernova | 61c | 95.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Supernova | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Winthrop University | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Winthrop University | 38c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Supernova | 63c | 79.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Winthrop University | 62c | 71.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Supernova | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Supernova | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Supernova | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Supernova | 61c | 65.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Winthrop University | 53c | 61.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Supernova | 39c | 55.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 286 | 38.1%109 W · 177 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Winthrop University | 41c | 51.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Supernova | 36c | 50.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Supernova | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Supernova | 61c | 41.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52b…baf2backed Supernova | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Supernova | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Winthrop University | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Supernova | 63c | 36.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Supernova | 64c | 34.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Supernova | 41c | 31.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed Supernova | 63c | 31.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Supernova | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 422 | 51.7%218 W · 204 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Supernova | 50c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Supernova | 36c | 28.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Supernova | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Supernova | 61c | 17.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsWinthrop University won
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerSupernova won
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 3 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 4 WinnerSupernova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.