Lol · resolved market
LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a3a32527ca9172f81e6d55f3547804ef1943d7fac406862dd65251d30716d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Supernovaof Supernova, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Winthrop University | 59c | 19,305$11,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,396 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Supernova | 40c | 16,410$6,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,846.13 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Winthrop University | 2c | 3,980$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Winthrop University | 45c | 1,904$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.81 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Supernova | 49c | 1,726$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Supernova | 56c | 1,663$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.87 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Supernova | 37c | 1,531$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.3 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Winthrop University | 28c | 880.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.52 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Winthrop University | 56c | 853.21$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.12 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Supernova | 31c | 705$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.45 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Supernova | 40c | 648.41$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Supernova | 41c | 632.74$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.31 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Supernova | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Supernova | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Supernova | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Winthrop University | 18c | 499.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Supernova | 44c | 481.53$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.16 | 157 | 31.2%49 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Winthrop University | 4c | 456.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Supernova | 52c | 399.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Supernova | 4c | 375$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Winthrop University | 51c | 351.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Supernova | 29c | 349.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Winthrop University | 49c | 346.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Winthrop University | 31c | 322.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed Winthrop University | 30c | 312.02$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Supernova | 38c | 299.69$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.69 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Winthrop University | 68c | 294.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Supernova | 55c | 267.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Winthrop University | 39c | 257.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 376 | 33.5%126 W · 250 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Winthrop University | 22c | 250.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 212 | 49.5%105 W · 107 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…0a62backed Winthrop University | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Supernova | 60c | 242.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Supernova | 40c | 236.36$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Supernova | 79c | 233.3$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 425 | 40.7%173 W · 252 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Winthrop University | 54c | 224.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Supernova | 45c | 221.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Winthrop University | 67c | 202.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Winthrop University | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Winthrop University | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Winthrop University | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University | 52c | 193.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Supernova | 69c | 188.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Winthrop University | 28c | 186.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Winthrop University | 52c | 164.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Winthrop University | 10c | 154.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Supernova | 66c | 151.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…d794backed Supernova | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Winthrop University | 48c | 145.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Supernova | 71c | 141.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…649cbacked Winthrop University | 57c | 134.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…195abacked Winthrop University | 31c | 129.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Winthrop University | 34c | 126.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Supernova | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Supernova | 57c | 121.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Supernova | 46c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Winthrop University | 71c | 119.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked Winthrop University | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…878ebacked Supernova | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Winthrop University | 29c | 89.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Supernova | 36c | 81.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Winthrop University | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Supernova | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Supernova | 58c | 74.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 494 | 51.8%256 W · 238 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Winthrop University | 54c | 71.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Supernova | 61c | 70.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc4…e2b9backed Supernova | 60c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Supernova | 60c | 61.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4719…8d69backed Supernova | 29c | 53.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Supernova | 43c | 52.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Winthrop University | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Winthrop University | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 151 | 35.8%54 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…96f3backed Supernova | 61c | 50.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Supernova | 29c | 47.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Winthrop University | 43c | 46.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Winthrop University | 50c | 46.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Supernova | 42c | 45.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Supernova | 52c | 41.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Winthrop University | 36c | 38.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…a140backed Supernova | 42c | 31.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Winthrop University | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed Supernova | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Supernova | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Supernova | 67c | 28.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Winthrop University | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Supernova | 79c | 25.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Supernova | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 251 | 65.7%165 W · 86 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Supernova | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed Winthrop University | 43c | 23.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Winthrop University | 71c | 15.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsWinthrop University won
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerSupernova won
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerWinthrop University won
- LoL: Supernova vs Winthrop University - Game 3 WinnerWinthrop University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.