TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c8d…65e7backed Yes18c17,411$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,278.724654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No45c6,080$2,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.6775450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed No62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8601,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked No51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9421251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No53c1,867$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.7181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked No62c1,623$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.398536.5%31 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Yes59c1,471$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.0610752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5062…b5e7backed Yes49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No47c1,347$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9915641%64 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes59c1,114$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7414332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x065d…f0f1backed Yes50c1,008$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.71464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked No73c843.84$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.9529127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes47c753$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.098353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed No43c650.43$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.157560%45 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No55c642.88$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.822544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eed…cb2abacked Yes32c616.21$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.651747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes52c558.29$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.962,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No20c554.55$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4616023.8%38 W · 122 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes30c486.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.531844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bb…570bbacked Yes31c465.78$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.781833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812e…8189backed Yes49c408.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.676061.7%37 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed No43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038754.8%212 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Yes31c319.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3512041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc2…d305backed Yes48c318.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.028953.9%48 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes14c292.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.855639.3%22 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked No41c283.58$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2749651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked Yes38c280.67$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No42c260.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.514142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdc…a595backed Yes38c254.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34b0…d620backed Yes44c247.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes46c244.47$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked No45c244.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.727749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed No66c234.82$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9818846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.31338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe99b…f212backed Yes48c206.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.727160.6%43 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fe9…4829backed Yes35c205.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.594146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed Yes49c204.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.12425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f47…6cf8backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a97…4c14backed Yes48c202.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d2f…61eebacked Yes33c200.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.543360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Yes79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.18758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8230748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64ad…ca63backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes57c196$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.042650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes32c170.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.623354.5%18 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Yes46c160.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes57c158$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.681,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes40c155.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.47955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes43c150.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8113441.8%56 W · 78 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked No61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.54242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes34c146.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.229454.3%51 W · 43 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed Yes36c138.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+62%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed Yes58c137$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.547250%36 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe121…2b9fbacked Yes55c133.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.93438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No27c124.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.282,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed No54c124.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2114145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No54c122.96$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.42748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed No69c115.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.911546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No29c105.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2416641%68 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes38c104.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9110650%53 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3504…0131backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3337…238cbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No10c101$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1375.4%2 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5975…2f1cbacked No51c101$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.513630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No41c101$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4111849.2%58 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58b…ef84backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86eb…5864backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed Yes15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd862…f135backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+204.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc42…3679backed No70c93.06$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d3…793dbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ee…801bbacked Yes32c92.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.264744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No41c79.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5113240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b0…acdebacked Yes38c78.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No33c75.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb53…2860backed Yes58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.57925.3%20 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes32c74.52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.041,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d34…3e28backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No41c73.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036846.7%172 W · 196 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes40c63.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.391,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No20c63.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.521,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ca…b8f3backed Yes49c61.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.73560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d7…3377backed No68c49.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…1927backed No54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65c4…2e13backed No54c45.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No57c42.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.633438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No57c35.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8416…92dcbacked Yes34c34.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e9…bf1fbacked Yes60c33.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c7…048abacked Yes59c26.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes47c26.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.941,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…1e17backed No40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5b…9a45backed Yes48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…9aa1backed No70c23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a85…54c1backed No70c19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.