TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34b0…d620

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
IPOlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT4129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.66
Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.19
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+95%+$74.9
Will Bending Spoons' market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.1B and $2.7B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$130.3
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.78
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be less than $600M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$348.16
Will Innio's market cap be between $26B and $29B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.5
Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.17
Will Innio's market cap be between $23B and $26B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$759.69
Will Innio's market cap be at least $29B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.11
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $13B and $16B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$151.57
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.81
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.74
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.84
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $2.75B and $3.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.77
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$847.77
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.75B and $4.25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.25
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.77
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$827Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,240.43
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.14
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.61
Will EagleRock's market cap be less than $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.62
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+128.2%+$138.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.5
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
Will BIG qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$277.53
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.37
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$749
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.62
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.