South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ff3f2b0e6f817e1594b0e467bdac0cda618c6f8380279d614ab3501e5f8c87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 47c | 3,321$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,496$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.86 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 1,233$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 457.75$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.08 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 53c | 299.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 246.29$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 103.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Over | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Over | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…d620backed Under | 59c | 84.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 57c | 70.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 67.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 38c | 66.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 55.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 48.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 62c | 43.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Over | 64c | 33.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…766abacked Under | 46c | 30.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)CA Boston River won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 4.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.