TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$480,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$482,727

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c265,442$127,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,412.133240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,0005940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c30,047$14,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,333.9569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over53c27,684$14,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,011.487650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c19,157$9,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,271.6655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over52c15,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c10,036$5,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,817.162,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9666250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9211654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.383342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c7,060$3,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,461.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over50c7,023$3,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under47c6,276$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.5254539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c6,231$3,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35020155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c4,864$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.2232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c4,691$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c4,367$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.2590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under50c3,180$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.7914338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c2,995$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.552,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over62c2,930$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.1824159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over72c2,787$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.7452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over52c2,526$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.4856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over52c2,433$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.5832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0382…7aafbacked Under51c2,356$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2011560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…2ec2backed Under49c2,297$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over53c2,276$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.725358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over52c2,177$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.961872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under48c1,604$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under49c1,370$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.1960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c1,182$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.341,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over53c1,154$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.33935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Under47c1,144$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.521225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52811757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd57…73e0backed Under51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c1,060$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.8852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.420247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c890.45$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.153,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c878.92$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.972,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under29c858.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.117950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over53c849.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0618748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5b…a4d9backed Under45c845.27$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2363…a20dbacked Over52c724.53$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over58c684.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.8846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over53c631.31$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.8315648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over52c605$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.445251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Under10c518.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.522326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over52c512$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.7671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c500$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under47c499.98$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Over50c498.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.2714251.4%73 W · 69 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over42c496.37$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.667152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over51c470.99$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.081,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c469.26$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under41c468.16$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over79c443.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0418853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over51c439.8$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over52c400.96$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under53c400.02$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19223140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22816050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Under49c398.08$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.066544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f24…9a68backed Over53c394.15$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7511558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.144355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under50c355.61$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2917247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over71c352.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4420650.5%104 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under47c348.75$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9123742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over56c335.66$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8618557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under48c328.64$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.684443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under24c317.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7117946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c314.46$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.2363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over39c313.1$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under30c304.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6825045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over52c292.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Over53c286$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.423256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Over53c286$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4212450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over53c286$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4210750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Over53c286$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.422272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over52c281$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8827450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c264$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.721,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285f…fc85backed Under36c263.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under33c258$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2324936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.511858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under29c247.62$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7280440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a2…e9b7backed Under48c241.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.24156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under39c235.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1978639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd5…bf27backed Over53c223$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.815759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over53c209$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.235756.1%32 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd9…be42backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Over53c201$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4722351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.