NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a1e32ef184d23dff62486b466e32ab52d77015b757f625c4110ab65fe9371f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 45,728$23,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,674.96 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 23,424$11,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,265.17 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Over | 49c | 8,525$4,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 3,726$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Over | 49c | 3,555$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,477$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.29 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Over | 49c | 2,214$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…6547backed Over | 49c | 1,733$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 1,729$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.37 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.02 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,196$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 50c | 780.79$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.78 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Over | 51c | 508.76$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.29 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 50c | 487.42$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.71 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 330.96$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 51c | 265.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 51c | 232.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Over | 52c | 194.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 52c | 192.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 179.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 48c | 164.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Under | 52c | 146.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 119.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 49c | 105.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 80.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 51c | 76.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 71.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Over | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Over | 52c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.