NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6e5fe5e43c2dd8feb28f7891df203bd0a0d3d25b3f4e2802bad6cca0fdb4f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Knicks | 75c | 45,720$34,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,292.91 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 35,928$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 7,336$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.7 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 77c | 7,155$5,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.75 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 23c | 5,284$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.32 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Knicks | 75c | 3,158$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.5 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Knicks | 76c | 3,026$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 18c | 1,481$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 1,288$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 74c | 1,006$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.27 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Knicks | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 24c | 969.57$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Cavaliers | 24c | 818.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Cavaliers | 23c | 759.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Knicks | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Cavaliers | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Knicks | 78c | 496.37$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Knicks | 76c | 424.21$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…f228backed Knicks | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Cavaliers | 25c | 395.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Knicks | 76c | 375$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Knicks | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ac2cbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 239.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 76c | 215.1$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Cavaliers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Cavaliers | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 370 | 37.3%138 W · 232 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…20ccbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 193$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Cavaliers | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…30a5backed Cavaliers | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers | 25c | 169.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 76c | 166.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers | 24c | 150.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks | 75c | 139.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers | 24c | 125.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Cavaliers | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Knicks | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…e2c0backed Knicks | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Knicks | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Cavaliers | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Knicks | 77c | 79.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Cavaliers | 24c | 71.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Knicks | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c1…13cabacked Cavaliers | 23c | 64.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Knicks | 76c | 52.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…ce01backed Cavaliers | 24c | 46.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Cavaliers | 24c | 44.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Knicks | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Knicks | 76c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Knicks | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Knicks | 76c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d6cabacked Knicks | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Knicks | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.