TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c14,884$7,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,049.969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c9,795$4,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,386.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c8,670$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,30893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under54c3,835$2,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.2242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under51c3,732$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.0156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under62c3,656$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.531,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c3,648$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.3890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c3,588$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over48c3,544$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.826152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under58c3,400$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.5134255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under3c3,208$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.161921.1%4 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under64c3,106$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over66c3,046$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.8952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over52c2,962$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.3652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under49c2,869$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.184362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over42c2,716$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.171,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over25c2,170$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.2430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over51c1,963$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.7820946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under49c1,931$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over51c1,818$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9711946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Under8c1,550$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.54126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99e…4d03backed Under4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Under6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over48c1,442$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.7136051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Under7c1,400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over23c1,285$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.634463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Under21c1,283$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4353945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c1,222$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.951,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c1,221$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.181,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under64c1,099$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under70c1,081$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.5236243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over41c1,073$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.1815644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under36c1,050$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.941,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under67c1,027$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.7830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c958.53$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.8663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under64c936$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.4545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under61c934.89$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.631345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c931.1$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.766,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over44c910.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.9346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under24c870.61$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.516334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Under45c860.85$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3852744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under45c857.58$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.4255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over43c850.81$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.724626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under60c843.13$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.784443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under64c800$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.526437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over39c764.64$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.277152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Under66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under34c746$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.162,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Over59c734.21$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under22c684.75$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.537133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over41c677.96$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.561181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over41c672$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.4825352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under72c638.14$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.9452053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed Under54c634.83$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under62c630.7$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under59c629.93$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.661,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over34c618.14$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.4518557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over56c615.73$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5415648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over51c603.13$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9821953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under22c599.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13440440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under9c599.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c590.02$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.948,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over73c520.22$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.394560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over64c500$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.782,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Under61c500$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4811451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.81250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over48c456.16$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c443.1$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Under24c440.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2923441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Under69c420$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.043154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under14c417$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5726639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over51c411.05$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.232755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under20c406$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8621242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under59c400$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23462948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Over62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1525843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Under28c400$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014449.3%71 W · 73 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over47c391.83$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under44c388.45$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2424936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b84…6accbacked Over41c368.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.293066.7%20 W · 10 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c365.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.371,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under8c360$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over40c333$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under59c321.84$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under17c320$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.816640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under77c302.48$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.331973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under22c300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6717748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under60c298.03$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over58c296.06$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.413164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under44c295.82$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307153.5%38 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over42c292.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.396233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under34c292$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9826131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under48c291$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under61c288.52$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1761,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x634f…30a7backed Under64c277.64$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over19c266.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.7625150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Under62c263.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over55c258.13$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.411,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under47c254.19$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c253.06$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.