TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No75c28,881$21,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,599.4432765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No73c22,523$16,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,532.324,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes26c18,500$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,6904738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No74c10,104$7,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,475.74652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked No75c8,337$6,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,252.419440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No71c7,897$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.842,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes26c7,688$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.72,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed No0c6,505$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed No75c5,378$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.1823644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked No73c4,600$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,357.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes22c3,548$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.2469826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes70c3,333$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.5913268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No76c3,126$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.542,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes26c3,000$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.683,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes26c3,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c2,742$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Yes29c2,716$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.0212544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bd1…d4eebacked Yes29c2,684$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+79.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes27c2,593$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.595952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes26c2,500$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.433,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Yes29c2,500$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes28c2,405$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.4510537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes19c2,400$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.9827811.9%33 W · 245 L-1.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No76c2,160$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.4936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No73c2,042$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.661,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c2,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.491,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes27c1,907$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.4675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes27c1,869$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.8521442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb687…aee5backed No72c1,842$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.21361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02aa…f99bbacked Yes29c1,730$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.521850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No71c1,500$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.9831171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes28c1,444$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.1819442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No79c1,260$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.952,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked No36c1,240$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No69c1,151$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.832,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes25c1,076$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.593,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No68c1,012$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.412,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes26c1,000$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7409745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7409078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x666e…e195backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x941d…0839backed Yes26c1,000$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.52416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Yes17c999.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.9919020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x656a…6077backed Yes29c897.84$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes29c800$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56810330.1%31 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60024045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb157…0120backed Yes28c770$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.415042.7%64 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Yes27c700$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5117636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Yes27c651.69$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.151822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes17c649.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.4925418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84c1…4114backed No26c649.98$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf27a…7b4dbacked Yes28c642.86$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.861233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No70c606.67$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.675962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No30c603.68$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.432,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes28c592.85$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.8517636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes28c562.08$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.79830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No72c523$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.811,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes15c522.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.5898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes27c518.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5215719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes17c516.94$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0616032.5%52 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35516428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37528945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed No73c498.05$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.6736634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No72c428.01$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1718843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes26c390$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24a…45b1backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.625437%20 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked No5c375.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8111114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3717723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes13c362.89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.411,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ada…945abacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.143823.7%9 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes18c356.51$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Yes28c356.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.11526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Yes17c352.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.9418436.4%67 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No71c346.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.3639951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8372424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes27c341$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9314134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…e297backed Yes29c322.41$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes17c309.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.851,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5123…0278backed Yes25c307.14$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.142441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2226570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1219618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98cf…a15abacked Yes17c294.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.126124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes20c281.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2219553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes25c276$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20722652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf6…eca4backed Yes27c259.26$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.266619.7%13 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Yes29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.58742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes17c249.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4931920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes25c241.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.672924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes27c240.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7417223.3%40 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes21c221$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.555429.6%16 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdc…dfabbacked Yes27c212.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15512039.2%47 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc10…262cbacked Yes29c210.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.341030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked No76c199.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.993135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes24c197$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6315325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff7…94d5backed Yes19c177.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.476442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528b…7ed5backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.413333.3%11 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 90. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.