Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cc6aa69d3f7ce4d302ddff3981207a6c898783991cc5e6887c9d161907c03f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $974,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $974,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80b5…edf1backed No | 0c | 123,840$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…d26abacked No | 0c | 61,785$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085f…eacfbacked No | 0c | 49,784$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…a0ebbacked No | 0c | 44,360$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…ae74backed Yes | 14c | 36,225$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,226.48 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7e…4f99backed No | 0c | 32,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…7058backed No | 0c | 31,500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…8bb7backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…d1b2backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…9348backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 19,615$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,640.11 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…9ea2backed No | 0c | 16,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 78c | 15,840$12,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,420.68 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…7726backed No | 0c | 13,698$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927e…cb2bbacked No | 0c | 11,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…1a7cbacked Yes | 7c | 11,012$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,242.26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +268%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…2360backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +177.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…d112backed No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…1997backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…2b7cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…e482backed No | 0c | 9,260$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…d3a5backed Yes | 13c | 8,609$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,471.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +278.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 15c | 7,956$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,756.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +563%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 19c | 6,780$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,511.55 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…983ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,500$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029a…d0d9backed No | 0c | 5,479$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 3c | 5,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…db0dbacked Yes | 10c | 5,000$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +425.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 6c | 4,625$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +14.7wins | +0.30per pick | 19cpaid | +257.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 5c | 4,100$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…dc88backed Yes | 68c | 4,092$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 15c | 3,800$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +25.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…9c3dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,577$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…74febacked Yes | 14c | 3,500$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 67c | 3,416$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.99 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…9ef6backed No | 0c | 3,364$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…07ecbacked No | 1c | 3,214$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 15c | 2,850$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +13.5wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 2,657$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.03 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…8387backed Yes | 9c | 2,327$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,231$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.42 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…466ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,094$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +342.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…c577backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed Yes | 7c | 1,983$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.43 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +143.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed No | 78c | 1,962$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.53 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.79 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 12c | 1,850$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…3862backed Yes | 7c | 1,850$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,769$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.01 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 75c | 1,682$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.65 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 14c | 1,650$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +16.4wins | +0.32per pick | 21cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dd…c441backed Yes | 6c | 1,560$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +865%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08d9…b543backed Yes | 11c | 1,550$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +822.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…715ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,517$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…c2a2backed Yes | 23c | 1,510$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…5c1ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,422$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,382$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.41 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 25c | 1,302$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.11 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…a092backed Yes | 7c | 1,271$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,297.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8b…cf2ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,166$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 7cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…22fabacked Yes | 6c | 1,163$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,662.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 27c | 1,110$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb51e…3bc9backed Yes | 12c | 1,109$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +716.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,082$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.22 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…3cf8backed Yes | 18c | 1,055$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…9561backed Yes | 15c | 969.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.11 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2b…b40cbacked Yes | 57c | 967.39$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed No | 13c | 938$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa50c…f75dbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 11c | 899.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 14c | 882.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 61c | 874.27$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 23c | 822.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.41 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…1b26backed Yes | 8c | 810.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +497.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba2…63ddbacked Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 31c | 800$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +24.9wins | +0.25per pick | 30cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…bed2backed Yes | 17c | 787.97$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +324.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…3448backed Yes | 51c | 778.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…4362backed Yes | 6c | 754.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…16cfbacked Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…fdb1backed Yes | 11c | 693.79$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.59per pick | 16cpaid | +322.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…4f1bbacked Yes | 12c | 691.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +171%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…400fbacked Yes | 8c | 664.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +250.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…aab7backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…f596backed Yes | 16c | 606.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +277.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4721backed Yes | 22c | 569.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6152…4a03backed Yes | 18c | 548.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…859abacked Yes | 15c | 527.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes | 10c | 526.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.14 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 10c | 520$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bbaebacked Yes | 13c | 512.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9992backed Yes | 20c | 500.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…0bfbbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c2…5fc4backed Yes | 21c | 471.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.