TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,621
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,621 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes46c11,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0601850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No57c10,047$5,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.14,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No59c8,131$4,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,341.2534357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes41c7,317$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.186317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21eb…6dedbacked Yes46c7,115$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,260.483161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No54c5,564$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.352955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.9911654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No60c4,847$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.7614553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No60c4,210$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.9819252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No59c4,169$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.1253448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No67c4,010$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.081,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Yes40c3,163$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.397140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No60c3,100$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9946464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No57c2,947$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.4715252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No60c2,758$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.772,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7608…c6b6backed Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00037959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Yes17c2,350$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes40c2,315$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.222,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes19c2,248$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.3814856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No60c2,045$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.8114860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No59c1,634$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.078652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes34c1,500$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No80c1,422$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No63c1,118$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.017259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Yes41c1,085$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.022552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes41c1,010$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No63c889.58$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.9211256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes21c882.71$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6418843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c708.72$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.113,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…e36cbacked Yes44c677.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No60c660.28$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8439951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes30c648.93$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.710537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No54c648.73$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.737065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45f6…4bfdbacked Yes46c633.84$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.572857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75d…30adbacked Yes43c631.05$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No60c626$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.41,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes26c593.64$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1951429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0931…e78ebacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010050%50 W · 50 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003189.4%30 W · 288 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5177…7715backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008923.6%21 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Yes39c470.11$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.248348.2%40 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No60c391.02$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.363,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4216…48d8backed Yes40c379.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes39c375$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.256750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c3…322bbacked Yes40c364.78$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9120024.5%49 W · 151 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.23237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes39c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.520638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14021133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No58c331.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.122,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes40c322.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1299330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed No61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11715742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005026%13 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015038%57 W · 93 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x788c…8c15backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008036.3%29 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6e3…c0adbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…6bb6backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x457e…1294backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012949.6%64 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid+23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No72c249.22$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.892,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d78…14c8backed Yes40c242.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.09560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+83.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010726.2%28 W · 79 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Yes40c235$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes6c220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…04acbacked Yes40c215.55$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.221471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78f9…c92dbacked Yes47c211.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No80c208.08$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.621,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes41c207.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.127315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe427…8266backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804850%24 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8028873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes44c186.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.887632.9%25 W · 51 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed Yes41c175.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7053436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc67…2859backed Yes40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706927.5%19 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No59c172.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.726564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked No61c167.33$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2613956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No61c164.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3136350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x707d…c5afbacked Yes40c162.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes38c159.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012532.8%41 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No56c153.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6510351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes38c149.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.531920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e41…cf9cbacked Yes42c141.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Yes40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b2…fba9backed Yes14c136.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.262941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes40c130.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2113441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f4e…686bbacked Yes40c129.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.861450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No61c129$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.521,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.