Fifa International · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ec18021819a3f259f4da8ad7be4a240b885bdb40809b37b1622f2f645f0911
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…8d2dbacked Yes | 8c | 8,803$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.23 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 10c | 3,950$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 2,569$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…a74fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,917$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…464ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 8c | 1,175$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…23ddbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…5393backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 5c | 700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2f…9a04backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…06b3backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 9c | 550.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 6c | 491.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…c5d6backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…cb9dbacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…3e65backed Yes | 8c | 439.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…66c6backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked Yes | 7c | 435.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d922backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 8c | 355.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fcb9backed Yes | 9c | 344.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…f143backed Yes | 9c | 340.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…9e3dbacked Yes | 9c | 317.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c000backed Yes | 9c | 288.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 9c | 278.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1411…631dbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…901cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efb…76a0backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…facfbacked Yes | 8c | 204.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…e233backed Yes | 9c | 199.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…3d53backed Yes | 8c | 177.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…b31cbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…d269backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…2909backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…db8cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…b3d4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…e65fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f786backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…1afebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…23a8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…78a9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…80f0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Yes | 8c | 121.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots on targetYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ shotsYes won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Renato Veiga: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.