Fifa International · resolved market
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5b636d8d13969654e6991e5fe932614d6e7e79bde7602e2883237bfcbcc718d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,128$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.47 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…91e4backed No | 67c | 729.7$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1876…1ad5backed No | 70c | 714$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…36bbbacked No | 70c | 303.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 63c | 235.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5eb…8993backed No | 70c | 185.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…f875backed No | 66c | 154.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…2081backed Yes | 24c | 84.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 63c | 74.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed No | 64c | 30.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 65c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shotsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots on targetYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ shotsYes won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Renato Veiga: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.