TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,852
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,852 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes55c19,199$10,575 inLost-$10,574.7421051%107 W · 103 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No46c10,002$4,601 inWon+$5,400.9874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No43c6,000$2,580 inWon+$3,42034357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No45c1,250$563 inWon+$687.56162.3%38 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No44c1,154$508 inWon+$646.6837350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No46c350.59$161 inWon+$189.326261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd0…78febacked No46c271.74$125 inWon+$146.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No42c199.99$84 inWon+$115.9928873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes58c171.92$100 inLost-$10029645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8089…7a15backed Yes57c150$86 inLost-$85.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked No49c112.69$55 inWon+$57.4713956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed No46c99.99$46 inWon+$53.9946247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No45c99.99$45 inWon+$54.9957252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No45c75.53$34 inWon+$41.466366.7%42 W · 21 L+12.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0067…cfb4backed Yes54c46.3$25 inLost-$253920.5%8 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked No46c39.13$18 inWon+$21.139858.2%57 W · 41 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6d4…536fbacked Yes55c36.36$20 inLost-$204129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ab…b50bbacked Yes58c33.71$20 inLost-$19.553145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Yes57c26.32$15 inLost-$1525841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.