Fifa International · resolved market
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a6872421d2aed179aa65291161b50ba308971bcdb7c3b960a931621b5bf858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked No | 57c | 2,430$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.38 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…eb3ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,074$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 41c | 749.78$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…4461backed Yes | 43c | 229.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes | 53c | 96.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…5922backed No | 47c | 88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 57c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed No | 55c | 61.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 57c | 61.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1876…1ad5backed No | 80c | 45.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 43c | 42.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…1c02backed Yes | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 48c | 36.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…e517backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed No | 57c | 33.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed No | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…40d1backed Yes | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e1…59c7backed Yes | 44c | 22.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsthis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots on targetYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ shotsYes won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Renato Veiga: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.