TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5e1…59c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.37
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$19.56
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.78
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.28
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
National Bank Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.14
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.24
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.81
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$76.31
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$24.13
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Jointbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.03
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$39.48
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$33.86
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$146.02
National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondarbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$33.02
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.97
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$10.62
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.67
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Raphael Collignonbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$36.89
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$33.88
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Austria (-1.5)backed Jordan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Japan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Netherlands leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$29.2
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$34.06
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.89
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.83
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.48
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.48
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.14
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.49
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.2
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.