Fifa International · resolved market
Japan leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe934185ca87d2993069f4d256dcc2bda1d1ee9c29f6cb2355f35b024791eeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 45,233$10,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,233.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Yes | 22c | 30,270$6,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,724.71 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 78c | 30,077$23,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.99 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 22c | 9,206$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.15 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 79c | 8,448$6,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.71 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.95 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 4,531$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 79c | 4,483$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.49 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 4,211$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.55 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 4,017$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 78c | 3,846$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.15 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked No | 79c | 3,485$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.81 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…582fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,432$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 78c | 2,160$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.73 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 77c | 2,003$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.61 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 77c | 1,772$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.37 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 78c | 1,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes | 23c | 1,448$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked No | 79c | 1,442$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 1,160$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.95 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 21c | 1,147$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…d036backed Yes | 16c | 1,100$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed No | 79c | 1,001$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.21 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1f…f22dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,001$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e1…59c7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 979.18$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.66 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 12c | 571.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 77c | 561.85$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 77c | 551.64$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 21c | 466.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 22c | 458.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…3d13backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 4c | 358.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 345$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.85 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 21c | 342.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 79c | 321.82$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef16…d826backed Yes | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 19c | 318.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 78c | 288.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…99a5backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 77c | 203.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 79c | 201.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…24c9backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…c616backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4453backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 77c | 190.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 163.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…41b2backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 21c | 143.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…f0c9backed Yes | 21c | 142.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed No | 80c | 125.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 124.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…1481backed Yes | 25c | 120.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa992…4316backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…bfe1backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…0ec2backed No | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…7823backed No | 79c | 102$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 78c | 101.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…6839backed Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…03efbacked Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 78c | 100.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…1209backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6397…a6e0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…f3f5backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…cc93backed Yes | 23c | 83.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…bdbfbacked Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…cc09backed Yes | 23c | 69.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 18c | 65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 80c | 60.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad56…a8d4backed Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…16aebacked Yes | 21c | 49.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed No | 78c | 48.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 79c | 47.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 78c | 42.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 79c | 39.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 79c | 33.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 31.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…6e74backed No | 79c | 27.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 55 | 80%44 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 79c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed No | 80c | 24.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 285 | 45.6%130 W · 155 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan leading at halftime?this page
- Netherlands leading at halftime?No won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.