Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x177344dece9ab5e48e13a4f2160ce548919285b08348a7289f553b67397dd88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $344,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 61c | 88,191$53,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,222.04 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 23,500$8,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,852.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccf…f092backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 13,311$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 44c | 9,474$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,290.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 5,484$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.74 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed No | 58c | 4,662$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 4,511$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.18 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked No | 40c | 2,190$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.17 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked No | 56c | 1,808$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.29 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 30c | 1,629$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.53 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…c63dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,339$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 1,187$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 56c | 921.25$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.9 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…425bbacked Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…d383backed No | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…55e5backed No | 34c | 690$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 44c | 680.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.44 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 56c | 614.91$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.35 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 466.89$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.63 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 44c | 447.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.73 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 44c | 439.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.06 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 44c | 426$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…5e05backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 22c | 360$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 301.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed Yes | 44c | 276$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 258.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 57c | 254$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Yes | 61c | 236.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 56c | 202$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…bdbfbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Yes | 44c | 156.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 146$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…661dbacked Yes | 69c | 145.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…9f42backed Yes | 44c | 143.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 127.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…3c88backed Yes | 77c | 124.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c8…6327backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 90 | 15.6%14 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 108.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…09e2backed No | 57c | 102$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c01…48c8backed No | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 57c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…03efbacked No | 57c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…561bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 150 | 43.3%65 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 43c | 89.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…3610backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed No | 55c | 83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…25e8backed Yes | 44c | 81.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…43b0backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…9ed6backed Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…8ba5backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7c…ebb4backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03f…ae7ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…0f77backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…6bb1backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…4d89backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…fa7bbacked Yes | 44c | 32.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f4…c550backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 57c | 27.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…c3bcbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…3b32backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…5f2ebacked Yes | 68c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?this page
- Japan leading at halftime?No won
- Netherlands leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.