TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe877…25c0backed Yes0c23,050$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.05850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c16,356$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c15,807$5,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c15,456$10,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.952,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ccf…f092backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c10,764$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.833,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes37c9,994$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.492,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…062dbacked Yes36c8,333$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No63c8,123$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.162,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6285…3f5abacked Yes39c7,466$2,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.88922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes36c6,636$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.151,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No64c4,000$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.9886452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…68a8backed Yes38c3,932$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Yes36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0804535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c2,841$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.44,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46065651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb45…0cadbacked No64c1,668$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.438158%47 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57639050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No64c1,600$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57638451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes36c1,520$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.5754917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No64c1,040$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.439951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No64c1,023$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.161,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e1…59c7backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes37c999.93$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9728526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No64c960$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.640848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes36c873$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3463035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4911…7ba8backed Yes36c831.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011851.7%61 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8461…d383backed No64c699.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.991546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Yes15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5d…d028backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f49…e67bbacked Yes28c548.4$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.172218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-57%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes36c547.81$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.213826.3%10 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca8f…5e05backed No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked No63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked No65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.549372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3a…6221backed Yes10c459.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.81811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28fa…7190backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007953.2%42 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No67c425.12$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No63c390.47$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4719545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011631.9%37 W · 79 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c344.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.421,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes22c338.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.12,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes37c335.14$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1248934.8%31 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes33c316.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.482,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Yes35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c295.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.14,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes9c287.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7114734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8762…cc57backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007532%24 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes35c239.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.813,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes35c225.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes33c211$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.632,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6785…98c3backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No65c205.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8522247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…8f34backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012042.5%51 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.534455.5%191 W · 153 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb6…797bbacked Yes30c187$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No63c144.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.433,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes28c140.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.912,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3aec…bdbfbacked Yes37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.81020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed No64c135.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.946459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No64c132.81$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0251…a857backed Yes37c131.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.733625%9 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…b961backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fd…0dedbacked Yes38c128.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.72425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87c…8c97backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016123.6%38 W · 123 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c94…6ba9backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011544.3%51 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e61…95dabacked No66c104.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.552657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8004…35e6backed No65c103.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.082653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No64c101.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5542048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33f…7155backed No66c101.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf8…92b8backed No64c101$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3614461.1%88 W · 56 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No63c101$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3754450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3409…6839backed Yes35c100.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.355048%24 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd755…61a1backed No66c100.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed No64c100.16$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0628257.1%161 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.682348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd4…897ebacked No64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e4…757dbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3532943.8%144 W · 185 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ebe…17b9backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385356.6%30 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345040%20 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c66…a0c7backed No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018926.5%50 W · 139 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed No68c90.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0578234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes18c86.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6569744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes35c84.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4852441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No64c82.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.841,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No64c81.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306136.1%22 W · 39 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.