Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe5a8bcce12e39f4bfb865e11dbd78123d083efde6c1a1e563e597c459753e48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe877…25c0backed Yes | 0c | 23,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 16,356$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056.43 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 15,807$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 15,456$10,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.95 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccf…f092backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 10,764$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.83 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 9,994$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.49 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…062dbacked Yes | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 8,123$5,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.16 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Yes | 39c | 7,466$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 36c | 6,636$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.15 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 64c | 4,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…68a8backed Yes | 38c | 3,932$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 2,841$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.4 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked No | 64c | 1,668$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.43 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,520$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.57 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 64c | 1,040$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 64c | 1,023$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.16 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e1…59c7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Yes | 37c | 999.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.97 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 64c | 960$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.6 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 36c | 873$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…7ba8backed Yes | 36c | 831.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…d383backed No | 64c | 699.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…68e5backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5d…d028backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f49…e67bbacked Yes | 28c | 548.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.17 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d90…7e0abacked Yes | 36c | 547.81$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…5e05backed No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked No | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked No | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…6221backed Yes | 10c | 459.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…7190backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 67c | 425.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 63c | 390.47$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 344.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 22c | 338.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes | 37c | 335.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 33c | 316.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…e64ebacked Yes | 35c | 314.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 295.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1c…d8b5backed Yes | 9c | 287.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 147 | 34%50 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cc57backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 239.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes | 35c | 225.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 33c | 211$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed No | 65c | 205.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.85 | 222 | 47.7%106 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 344 | 55.5%191 W · 153 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…797bbacked Yes | 30c | 187$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 144.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 140.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…bdbfbacked Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed No | 64c | 135.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…0a8bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 64c | 132.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…a857backed Yes | 37c | 131.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…b961backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…0dedbacked Yes | 38c | 128.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…6ba9backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e61…95dabacked No | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…35e6backed No | 65c | 103.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 64c | 101.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…7155backed No | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed No | 64c | 101$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 63c | 101$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3409…6839backed Yes | 35c | 100.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…61a1backed No | 66c | 100.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 64c | 100.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…897ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebe…17b9backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…a0c7backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 68c | 90.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 18c | 86.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 35c | 84.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 64c | 82.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 64c | 81.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands leading at halftime?this page
- Japan leading at halftime?No won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.