MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d82688216d53e2e656c86fc1e1041c822182963474b8c4f46991d83711c2345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Texas Rangers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $640,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0954…1e1bbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 218,432$98,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,294.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 132,761$72,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,151.47 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Houston Astros | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 56c | 46,390$25,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,457.37 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 39c | 42,574$16,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,508.54 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 55c | 32,500$17,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,624.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 29,720$14,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,859.77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 55c | 24,377$13,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,969.49 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 24,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,799.99 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Houston Astros | 62c | 22,366$13,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,478.33 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 15,553$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 60c | 12,070$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.19 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 55c | 11,285$6,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078.35 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 10,835$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,767.35 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.86 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 5,291$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.63 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 4,690$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.8 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Houston Astros | 55c | 4,251$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.39 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Houston Astros | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Houston Astros | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 61c | 3,296$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.73 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Houston Astros | 62c | 3,247$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.75 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…d2f4backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 2,899$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.63 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers | 10c | 2,517$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.14 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 69c | 2,262$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.13 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Texas Rangers | 3c | 2,143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 2,100$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,888$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.6 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,746$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.24 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,668$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.05 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 1,517$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.51 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,333$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.18 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 1,327$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.24 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 55c | 1,296$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.4 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 67c | 1,207$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.82 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 62c | 1,199$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.55 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,170$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 1,134$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.45 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,111$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 57c | 1,011$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.6 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Houston Astros | 59c | 1,007$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.02 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.05 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 982.14$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 55c | 754.54$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.54 | 523 | 47.2%247 W · 276 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Houston Astros | 55c | 686.6$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.97 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 669.47$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.57 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Houston Astros | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 650$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 613.71$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.48 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked Texas Rangers | 38c | 562.61$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Houston Astros | 53c | 541.48$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 530$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 29c | 523.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.42 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Houston Astros | 78c | 520$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Texas Rangers | 26c | 504.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Houston Astros | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 481.58$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Texas Rangers | 25c | 414$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 790 | 49.2%389 W · 401 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Houston Astros | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Houston Astros | 69c | 362.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.85 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 361.93$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 592 | 43.2%256 W · 336 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Texas Rangers | 27c | 343.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 319.96$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Houston Astros | 56c | 315$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros | 53c | 300.22$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Texas Rangers | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Houston Astros | 78c | 255$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Texas Rangers | 46c | 245.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…ccc3backed Houston Astros | 56c | 245.54$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Houston Astros | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 231.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 227.59$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…440cbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 226.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Houston Astros | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…f800backed Houston Astros | 54c | 222.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Texas Rangers | 28c | 221.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Houston Astros | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Texas Rangers | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…0e1cbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 217.3$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…fbf5backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 213.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Houston Astros | 53c | 212.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Texas Rangers | 18c | 210$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.