MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7732f9ae6a3cd12fbb2e293257a34bc99e5bd23f37a6e53f19619b2668f4742e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $740,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $753,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 196,864$85,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,792.03 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 65,217$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…028cbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 30,974$13,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,009.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 30,903$17,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,288.69 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 26,500$14,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,659.98 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 25,444$14,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,686.48 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 22,222$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.83 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 21,362$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 20,433$11,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,194.97 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 18,723$10,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.71 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Francisco Giants | 27c | 18,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 15,326$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.14 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 14,577$8,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,336.63 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 13,286$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 12,498$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.21 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 12,214$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 12,002$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.08 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 7,104$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 6,999$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.55 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 6,203$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.01 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 5,337$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.31 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 4,841$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 4,800$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.99 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 4,317$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.62 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 3,911$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.1 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 26c | 3,895$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.43 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 3,670$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 3,615$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.52 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 3,481$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.71 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 3,481$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.71 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 3,339$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.4 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 3,254$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 3,091$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.91 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 20c | 2,713$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,676$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.26 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,581$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 2,450$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.09 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,327$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.15 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 2,228$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.53 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 2,022$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.97 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…c8e0backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,999$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,956$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,931$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.02 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 1,555$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 1,482$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.54 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…1d53backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 1,400$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 1,290$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,252$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.88 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed San Francisco Giants | 17c | 1,250$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,152$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.88 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 1,122$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,106$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.64 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 73c | 1,100$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,085$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.2 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,024$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Francisco Giants | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked San Diego Padres | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 888$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 871$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 849$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.56 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed San Diego Padres | 74c | 799.29$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 785.71$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.71 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 773.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.05 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed San Francisco Giants | 21c | 765.05$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked San Francisco Giants | 28c | 761.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 709.11$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.1 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 621.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…0cd6backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 618.04$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 591$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.95 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 555.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 545$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.55 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 541.44$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed San Francisco Giants | 46c | 535.76$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.45 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 522.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 522.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.75 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 521.31$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked San Diego Padres | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 474$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Francisco Giants | 33c | 450.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.