MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd7d913cd2f0a44127937060d97363fdb9a8970b041fd2db3cecd66a6e890aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,999.93 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 63,006$22,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,747.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 49,106$21,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,606.48 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 34,328$19,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,761.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 33,278$14,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,115.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 28,784$15,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,988.47 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 15,553$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 10,758$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 9,297$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,908.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 7,730$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 6,076$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 5,555$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.64 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 4,899$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.36 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 4,785$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.61 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.27 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 3,385$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 3,278$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.54 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 2,562$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 2,491$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 2,024$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.05 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 1,783$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,443$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.49 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 1,396$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 1,356$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 1,234$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 1,209$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,187$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.52 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,116$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,059$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,010$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.3 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 911.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 12c | 815.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 699.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 663.6$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.35 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 640$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 629$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.47 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…e334backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 585$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 22c | 546.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 490.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 488.89$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 432.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 400.44$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.9 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 390$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 335.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 303.2$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 298.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 14c | 283.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 282.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 261.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…e046backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 249.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 247.36$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 241.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 233.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 229.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 226.86$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 226.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 179$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 172.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 164$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 163$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 152.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 146.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 143.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 136$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 133.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 17c | 131.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 18c | 129.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.