MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe0b063dd84642c745af1b6d74021160cc75a51f51e7adf5355a48477a97d503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 53c | 213,858$113,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,048.49 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 46c | 45,555$20,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,955.3 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 40,143$18,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,465.55 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 23,237$10,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,959.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 48c | 21,614$10,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,374.75 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 47c | 18,146$8,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,595.1 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 16,182$7,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 6,033$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.46 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 4,848$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.51 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 49c | 3,106$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.06 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 48c | 3,072$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 47c | 3,006$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.8 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 2,925$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 2,842$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 48c | 2,159$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.25 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,950$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 47c | 1,576$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.3 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 46c | 1,344$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.13 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 1,321$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 1,316$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.24 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 1,087$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 63c | 971.62$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 750$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 619.1$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.96 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 46c | 609.16$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 580$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 579$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.82 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 46c | 569.35$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 46c | 543.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 531.91$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.55 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 46c | 423.35$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 47c | 378.72$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 21c | 370$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 46c | 326.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.01 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 37c | 265$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 229.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 199.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 46c | 163.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 162$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 47c | 160.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 140.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 48c | 98.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 48c | 98.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 82.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 81.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 47c | 73.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 68.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 50c | 62.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 46c | 60.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 59.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 50c | 50.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 47.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…7c54backed Under | 46c | 45.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Under | 50c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 46c | 36.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 50c | 30.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 54c | 28.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 48c | 27.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 26.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 49c | 23.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 48c | 23.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-6.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.