TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Athletics, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$698,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$709,713

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Chicago White Sox54c77,777$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,777.411,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Chicago White Sox52c62,056$32,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,920.4446949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Chicago White Sox56c62,006$34,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,282.621637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics46c44,715$20,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,545.332,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics20c44,329$8,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,726.414,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics47c38,570$18,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,187.491,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox53c34,607$18,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,365.8386548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox66c31,699$20,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,911.5410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics42c26,612$11,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,065.198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics36c24,043$8,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,758.511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics47c23,598$10,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,977.873,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Athletics11c20,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9916347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics52c19,202$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00043554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago White Sox73c16,021$11,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.4382636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Athletics46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9007243.1%31 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox54c14,966$8,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,862.5179442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox55c14,140$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3631,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Chicago White Sox54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,52048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics46c10,586$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.84,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics47c10,562$4,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,928.735,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox69c9,742$6,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.1695045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Athletics24c8,396$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000220%0 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics43c8,216$3,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.078,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Athletics50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Athletics48c7,381$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,543.0628553.3%152 W · 133 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics16c7,225$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.0360043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Chicago White Sox55c7,222$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,219.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago White Sox55c6,685$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.0923255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Athletics46c6,375$2,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.571650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox70c6,307$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.8812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics47c4,993$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.816,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Athletics47c4,255$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Athletics47c4,203$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.9151545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics50c4,030$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01519950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics16c3,804$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.641,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0390…da52backed Chicago White Sox54c3,764$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletics47c3,705$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.151,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Chicago White Sox54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.814938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Athletics44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4081942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Athletics42c3,196$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.4119453.6%104 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Chicago White Sox54c3,146$1,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.3189153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Chicago White Sox53c3,044$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.312244.3%54 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics48c2,276$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.32,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Chicago White Sox59c2,276$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.911,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics41c2,108$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.323,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Athletics47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94026054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Athletics48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics44c1,895$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.844945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…24e8backed Chicago White Sox55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Athletics45c1,500$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.341,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics44c1,149$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.161,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Chicago White Sox54c1,040$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.4955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics47c1,024$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.282,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Athletics46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9916848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked Athletics52c951.92$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49510344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Athletics50c936$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46855653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Chicago White Sox54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.939949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Chicago White Sox54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9310750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Athletics19c883.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9534639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Chicago White Sox55c860.93$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.429848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Athletics47c796$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.141,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe14…1394backed Athletics42c785.71$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Chicago White Sox54c740.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7432157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Chicago White Sox57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.751850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Athletics36c686.57$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9558746%270 W · 317 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox67c671.85$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.228,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c4d…a427backed Chicago White Sox74c651.56$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.564261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed Chicago White Sox56c621.43$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.432828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27632850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Athletics45c595.84$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.255145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Athletics47c586$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.421838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletics46c584.5$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.872,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Athletics44c575.13$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.077448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Athletics43c557.18$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23921146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Athletics47c549$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.032245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics43c543.65$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.585,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Athletics47c543.19$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.8137348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Chicago White Sox74c528.19$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6252955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Athletics49c503.75$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8487750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Athletics49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24532850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Athletics46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Chicago White Sox54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Athletics44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22045748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox73c489.66$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.934,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Athletics43c469.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Athletics44c452.93$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago White Sox56c446$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.241,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78eb…9a2bbacked Chicago White Sox52c436.54$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.546758.2%39 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics33c412.53$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.611,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Chicago White Sox76c393.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4797050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Athletics47c392.12$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.2987352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago White Sox50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19529449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Athletics46c384.2$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7318248.4%88 W · 94 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Athletics41c373.48$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546159%36 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Chicago White Sox54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3726245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd23e…e4a3backed Chicago White Sox54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.3711750.4%59 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Chicago White Sox59c369.83$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6248660.5%294 W · 192 L+40.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4f9…c9a7backed Chicago White Sox50c354.1$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.054641.3%19 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago White Sox59c345.88$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1379147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.