TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Yes8c25,700$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.4636123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes0c25,321$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.439830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c6,053$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Yes8c5,094$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.512623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes8c5,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes8c5,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc76…c003backed Yes8c3,800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b7…d5f0backed Yes8c3,041$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick29cpaid+79.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes8c2,750$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes10c2,502$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1724616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d4…2983backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008640.7%35 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes7c1,506$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107229.2%21 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d5…dafabacked Yes9c1,486$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.53229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…f666backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009530.5%29 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8581…5393backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes10c1,164$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.317153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b2b…bedbbacked Yes8c1,075$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f49…9178backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Yes7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes9c975$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Yes7c800.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes7c800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf82b…7a18backed Yes8c793.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567a…9b40backed Yes9c777.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Yes5c665.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.39148.4%44 W · 47 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x657d…bda5backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503613.9%5 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa318…58ebbacked Yes8c622.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes8c601.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8942336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes9c591.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.351,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes8c587.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4722919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes8c562.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454812.5%6 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd469…cb79backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2f…9a04backed Yes9c529.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x937b…2909backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x573d…48f3backed Yes10c450$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452425%6 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes4c444.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014127.7%39 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes8c434$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.721,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3c…31cfbacked Yes8c418.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.46156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes8c391.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cca…2e23backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30220%0 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x835e…c209backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305514.5%8 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd535…fcb9backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8c…5b09backed Yes8c337.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.981020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Yes8c327.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.637215.3%11 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d10…7075backed Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274537.8%17 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ac…eab5backed Yes10c299.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.973910.3%4 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes7c296.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.732114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4630…7de2backed Yes9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252015%3 W · 17 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa898…71c1backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x213b…ddb9backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206219.4%12 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe97d…26c0backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5a…cb9dbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…34bfbacked Yes5c236.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135527.3%15 W · 40 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+56.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc158…06c6backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…2c32backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208942.7%38 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b5…b9cdbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202114.3%3 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3d…901cbacked Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-38.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a0…da23backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209713.4%13 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes8c220$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.733,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Yes8c212.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175324.5%13 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2127637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes8c203.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.293,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1625510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b05…1553backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0e…ddb2backed Yes9c188.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcac9…b4bbbacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155735.1%20 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3925…d2f2backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15352.9%1 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-84.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532312.1%39 W · 284 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Yes8c175$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-82.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ba…8d27backed Yes9c171.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152025%5 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9777…7febbacked Yes8c162.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6048…8513backed Yes10c153$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.217139.4%28 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…0319backed Yes7c151.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-52.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5a…56f6backed Yes8c150.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2814…b0ccbacked Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217738.4%68 W · 109 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…72e7backed Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152825%7 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8d…0de5backed Yes8c130$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.896046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…d269backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf52f…64ddbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-63%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231d…4bdfbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103616.7%6 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.