Fifa International · resolved market
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1999a9e0107b6acda0ffde4af755fa29c2b00531fbfd7d892b79b9883a9c5fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 22c | 2,474$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,303$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 1,289$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 806.19$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.45 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 77c | 785.34$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.77 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 77c | 749.97$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 77c | 690.36$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.78 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 79c | 499.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 79c | 478.98$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 79c | 340.13$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 251.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…f0f1backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…7d3abacked Yes | 21c | 232.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 221.62$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 73c | 204.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 33.2%70 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…58ffbacked Yes | 27c | 182.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 179.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f6…7b94backed Yes | 25c | 157.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 17c | 135.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 120.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f7fbacked Yes | 21c | 116.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 72c | 108.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Yes | 20c | 101.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344c…a1aebacked Yes | 25c | 100.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…f863backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…e063backed Yes | 19c | 65.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7ce5backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…e2e5backed Yes | 19c | 51.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…0f75backed Yes | 19c | 51.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…41f4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…83e3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 79c | 16.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 79c | 16.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assiststhis page
- Alex Baena: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ assistsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ goalsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 2+ shotsNo won
- Bruno Fernandes: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ assistsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ shots on targetYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ shotsYes won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shotsNo won
- Cristiano Ronaldo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Cucurella: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ferrán Torres: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 1+ goalsNo won
- Gonçalo Ramos: 3+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ assistsNo won
- João Félix: 1+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 2+ goalsNo won
- João Félix: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsYes won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assistsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shotsYes won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goalsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shotsNo won
- Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nico Williams: 1+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 3+ goalsNo won
- Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Pedro Neto: 1+ shotsYes won
- Rafael Leão: 1+ goalsNo won
- Renato Veiga: 1+ assistsNo won
- Rodri: 1+ shotsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.