TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,358
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,358 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Yes66c63,625$42,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,308.521752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c37,982$12,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,329.11,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes32c35,878$11,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,539.764845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes27c16,465$4,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,469.2198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No42c15,653$6,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,083.8299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No67c14,794$9,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,881.942948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd7…89aabacked No29c13,352$3,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,449.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Yes60c13,078$7,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,846.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd645…7ebdbacked Yes34c7,353$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked Yes40c7,250$2,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.062725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes33c6,666$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.783531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes67c5,970$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.995440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No19c4,808$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,872.151631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes36c4,607$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.083836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No15c4,208$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,576.8910045%45 W · 55 L+18.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+97.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes33c4,072$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.1233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No20c4,034$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,234.812222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No54c3,863$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.8871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c3,651$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.2468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No65c3,422$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.74639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No67c3,185$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.9372850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c2,950$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.871,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No42c2,825$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.683240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No17c2,455$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.37742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+208.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes59c2,002$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.781,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes35c1,721$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.172846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No70c1,576$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.915068%34 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c1,560$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.541,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes79c1,520$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.5719847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes75c1,377$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.522042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes35c1,188$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.386339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No16c1,183$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.021526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes76c979.8$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.631020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes55c913.21$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8418774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No38c838.39$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.719726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No14c815.47$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.283938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes80c788.16$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.6316657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No59c785.22$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.7113952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes25c691.18$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.158032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c686.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.113228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes71c685.74$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.56341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked No33c626.36$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.662147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0619645.9%90 W · 106 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No66c534.06$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes33c527.02$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3973438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No50c516.51$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3247240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No51c503.67$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4911633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1553751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No15c498.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.0687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes47c485.46$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c459.39$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14721547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c443.06$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5419073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x787b…f0a6backed Yes68c436.46$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.791145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No57c430.11$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1125851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes54c429.5$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.325652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes61c401.88$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2222269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No63c394.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3211454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes53c356.36$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.93,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes58c313.93$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9919172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xab2e…c7cfbacked No77c305.19$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.19771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed No33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.035100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12031446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Yes34c295$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes34c294.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked No18c283.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.931070%7 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.37per pick33cpaid+103%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No55c270$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.529370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes40c249.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Yes33c247.05$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No66c237.26$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6726450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed No42c236.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e56…a7f6backed No17c229.31$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+91.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb9…dd8ebacked No66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes29c222.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed No44c222.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes37c213$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked No48c209.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.973265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed No16c207.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.32450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+151%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked No15c206.4$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.441346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+106.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40e9…b863backed Yes11c177.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed No46c174.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes70c167.64$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1580249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c4…980fbacked Yes62c162.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes69c161.41$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0314549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd765…f8ddbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked No33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.611144.1%49 W · 62 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6330735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Yes40c127.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes75c123.26$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.589555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Yes61c120$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.61573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4bb…22a9backed Yes68c117.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No63c112.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.743161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes33c109$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.979742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes67c106.52$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked No33c102.12$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No67c100.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.