Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35b497ac02b098deaeacda9230c0105d47dc4b7fb9f7dad9faef65fe5e348c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 48c | 10,687$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.13 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 4,563$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.37 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 46c | 4,067$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.54 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes | 25c | 4,057$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.46 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 16c | 3,847$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.24 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 39c | 3,841$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.11 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 23c | 3,544$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.88 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 72c | 2,425$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.04 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 15c | 2,288$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 16c | 2,021$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 1,822$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.45 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 27c | 1,740$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 53c | 1,456$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 1,413$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.33 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,321$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.83 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 42c | 1,321$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.62 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 3c | 1,140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.24 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…c32dbacked Yes | 80c | 1,005$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 834.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.94 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 773.84$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.38 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 52c | 710.29$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.52 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 25c | 636.16$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 604.16$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.98 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 37c | 601.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.45 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 13c | 566.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 3c | 418$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 31c | 413.59$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 67c | 406.21$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 69c | 400$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.71 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed No | 54c | 380.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 50c | 325$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 302.95$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 72c | 299$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 72c | 292.17$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.6 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 288.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 58c | 284.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +13.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…e410backed Yes | 17c | 263.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Yes | 57c | 257$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 66c | 255.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 74c | 239.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 61c | 217.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 64c | 206$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 12c | 204.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 62c | 199.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 51c | 184.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Yes | 57c | 171.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 25c | 160.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 13c | 156.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…64e2backed Yes | 26c | 146.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 73c | 141.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Yes | 14c | 140.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +640.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 48c | 134.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 78c | 128.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 17c | 122.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 119.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Yes | 13c | 119.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.58per pick | 26cpaid | +348.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 36c | 116.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 115.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 44c | 103.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 102.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 12cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 14c | 99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 98.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 56c | 97.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 17c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 86.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 49c | 84.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 37c | 83.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 82.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed No | 36c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 41cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 13c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 81.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 68.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…4d68backed Yes | 51c | 67.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 65.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 69c | 64.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Yes | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 69c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 25c | 49.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 30c | 48.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 70c | 46.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…ece1backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…516cbacked No | 72c | 37.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 43c | 35.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 61c | 33.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-22?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.