Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb82b1d7a7c894256364e6854acb0098147783c7678fcee4545f3e87d3dd7ae58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 62c | 11,323$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,323.17 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 57cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 31c | 11,183$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.36 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 9,180$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.61 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 68c | 6,178$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.73 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…7ebdbacked Yes | 42c | 5,952$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…c168backed No | 58c | 4,390$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 3,987$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.24 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 38c | 3,931$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 2,774$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.18 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked No | 78c | 2,703$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 38c | 2,601$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.3 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 21c | 2,441$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.51 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 32c | 2,151$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.71 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 2,032$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.11 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,964$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 67c | 1,823$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 31c | 1,806$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.76 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 41c | 1,683$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.14 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,521$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 63c | 1,500$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Yes | 16c | 1,469$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 23c | 1,383$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 73c | 1,098$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.39 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,091$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 1,082$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 34c | 1,071$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 23c | 924.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 904.94$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.62 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Yes | 42c | 892.86$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 66c | 856.13$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.22 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 842.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 42c | 835$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.7 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 23c | 781.01$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 14c | 739.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 19c | 674.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 33c | 615.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Yes | 40c | 600.08$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 28c | 590.37$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 72c | 545$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 38c | 520.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 21c | 498.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 463.21$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 21c | 458.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 62c | 450.66$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 447.4$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No | 70c | 419.39$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 24c | 409$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 68c | 404.13$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked No | 58c | 395.18$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 64c | 389$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 41c | 384$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…d868backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…e410backed Yes | 29c | 353.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 23c | 346.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked No | 61c | 325.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…2410backed Yes | 32c | 323.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Yes | 44c | 320$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 72c | 292$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Yes | 42c | 250.36$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 79c | 249.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 22c | 245$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed No | 63c | 243.82$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 29c | 238.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 76c | 232$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 21c | 214$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 71c | 211$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 40c | 203.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 41c | 202.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 18c | 202.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 9c | 202$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 200.18$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 44c | 197.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 196$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 22c | 184.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 184$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 72c | 178.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 58c | 143.53$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 63c | 142.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 67c | 141.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 135.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c8…20a4backed Yes | 30c | 109.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 97.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 37c | 97.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes | 23c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Yes | 36c | 76.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 39c | 72.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 23c | 71.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-22?No won
- Will Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.