TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c32,668$7,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,208.792,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed No58c24,814$14,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,354.022157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes24c21,692$5,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,187.5223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed No59c17,528$10,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,240.288763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x003b…ace5backed Yes42c8,846$3,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,715.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes17c6,007$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.1211039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes41c4,875$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.381,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes42c4,829$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.6814570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes11c3,885$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c3,883$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.3282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c3,300$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49546530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9734747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Yes42c2,940$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Yes43c2,784$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Yes36c2,689$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.2615045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes41c2,497$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.5951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No76c1,922$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.1757540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes40c1,820$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7312737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c1,293$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.461,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c1,109$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4492,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c955$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Yes36c937.28$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes42c923.66$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.121,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Yes5c808.33$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3980%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes12c800$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9412338.2%47 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No62c770.08$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.927060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes42c761.35$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.591,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No79c740.42$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.4233152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c683.79$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes32c610.74$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.631,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c578.36$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.911,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Yes42c538$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes33c526.31$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4819963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes35c462.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked No65c461$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.351963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c457.44$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.373,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No63c447$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.3930847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes27c422.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.389645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes40c414$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.66550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No66c398$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7619150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes41c389.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No77c379.33$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7172058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes20c371.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.456230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes29c333.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.272250%11 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ceb…1522backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Yes11c273.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes42c248.62$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.422948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9b…564cbacked Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes37c222.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7866837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No56c220.73$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.127856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5909…9c8cbacked Yes24c200.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes42c190.48$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Yes34c170.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.32339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed No58c166.66$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed No58c166.66$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No79c165.39$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.968760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Yes36c139.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Yes37c139.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.666541.5%27 W · 38 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No67c138.18$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.039149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Yes22c131.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes8c130$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.651931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed No58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.312157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes42c127$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3418247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No77c120.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8310458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes20c120.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5916842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes30c115.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No76c113.56$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8411155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c113.55$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf903…de2fbacked Yes14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+191.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c102.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.071,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3995…f71dbacked Yes36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4042462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3835246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No78c99.68$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.876561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No57c88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.849860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No58c86.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.225955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes39c85.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0155946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No59c84.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.814149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718f…f25abacked Yes13c84.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No58c83.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed No58c83.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Yes31c73.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked No65c71.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.83887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes36c70.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.291936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…7593backed No60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Yes41c68.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.254858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked No58c66.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c66.33$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.881,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes31c65.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.