South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3a30643976b8bde3c0246a5ae04f96dc1efadb1f05bab34e94f2b69616059c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 31c | 41,050$12,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,148.29 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 54c | 34,570$18,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,787.62 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 53c | 20,293$10,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,751.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 10,908$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520.83 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 42c | 9,204$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.48 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 36c | 8,072$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.4 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 8,070$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.03 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 34c | 6,267$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.6 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 68c | 6,205$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.02 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 63c | 4,678$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.9 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 60c | 4,432$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.6 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.97 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 3,924$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.18 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 45c | 3,856$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…6416backed No | 41c | 3,700$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 42c | 3,351$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.62 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Yes | 27c | 3,330$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 3,272$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.18 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 3,183$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.46 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 69c | 3,048$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.39 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.78 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 2,715$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.32 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 54c | 2,700$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.34 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 2,575$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.35 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 2,186$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.28 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 56c | 2,039$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.94 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 1,961$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.27 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 54c | 1,884$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.99 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 47c | 1,796$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.45 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,742$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked No | 52c | 1,684$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 50c | 1,598$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.72 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 56c | 1,597$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.2 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 70c | 1,466$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.35 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…f2a3backed No | 69c | 1,352$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,299$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.21 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 1,268$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.63 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 1,232$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.08 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 1,231$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.47 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 72c | 1,200$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 42c | 1,055$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.38 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 45c | 1,002$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.38 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 41c | 976.91$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.71 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 45c | 973.67$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.25 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed No | 47c | 956.59$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 71c | 900$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 75c | 884.55$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.57 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 40c | 760.87$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.48 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 67c | 757$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.19 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 67c | 748.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…2b82backed No | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 48c | 725$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.06 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 49c | 683.43$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.76 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 46c | 640.29$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.21 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 26c | 619.19$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.27 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 596.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 59c | 584.28$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 49c | 572.75$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 76c | 562.8$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed No | 49c | 553.89$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.89 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Yes | 42c | 537.5$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 513$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 69c | 500$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.15 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 76c | 485.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 71c | 475.48$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 43c | 465.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.11 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 43c | 453.38$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.74 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 55c | 450.03$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.68 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 450$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Yes | 50c | 439.87$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 47c | 435.44$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 37c | 434.23$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 42c | 413.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.22 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 72c | 390$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked No | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 45c | 344$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.69 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 48c | 338.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 319.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 20c | 300.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 44c | 300$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 73c | 281.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 43c | 279.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 45c | 262.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed No | 49c | 259.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 68c | 256.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yes | 42c | 253.29$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Yes | 43c | 246$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 245.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 40c | 217$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 55c | 207.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed Yes | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 57c | 191$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.