TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c17,519$10,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,050.9198945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c10,915$5,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52017740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over39c3,795$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.0814652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over44c2,899$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.766145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c2,830$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.221,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over45c1,958$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.0633346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.9810358.3%60 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over44c1,759$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.883033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c1,619$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.073,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.99955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over33c1,182$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.927058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under51c1,036$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.441957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under56c1,007$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.173438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Over37c1,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.165162.7%32 W · 19 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9805…a997backed Under46c939.13$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over34c830.11$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.564344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Under52c815.54$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under52c812.69$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.091747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c650.24$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.821,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under55c640.31$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over44c522$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6835550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Over55c485.97$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over54c460.63$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7468150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0458…92e9backed Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806124.6%15 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under72c365.06$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6735247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under71c347.59$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Under59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick72cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026625.8%17 W · 49 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over36c268.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.263650%18 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009940.4%40 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under65c204$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0827344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.420133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over33c179.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606944.9%31 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over44c171.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.419742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over55c168.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over56c166.8$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.414780.9%38 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over37c162.73$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6787154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over25c159.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.236247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c136.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3531158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under64c131.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2531446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c131$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7724046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3509…9e45backed Under69c130.82$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.821861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+81.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c122.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.371,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over35c120.45$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422564%16 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over45c119$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4432848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under45c117$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9618456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over42c115.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over43c102.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3329460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under47c100.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.47147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over43c99.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6810957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x142a…7fd6backed Over33c97.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.291833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over26c95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.717137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under56c87.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5412650.8%64 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under54c86.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9923953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Over56c82.45$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.171369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over35c80.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+74.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under45c78.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.925966.1%39 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under45c78.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9212058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over34c76.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0923350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under47c71.35$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7212356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7233…6520backed Over45c70.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under71c69.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1344350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under65c68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9844447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.956149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over47c51.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under56c48.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.257460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over56c47.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5119642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.441770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over43c44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.929253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over38c43.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.744951%25 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over42c40.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8420554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over43c39.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0410753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under49c36.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4512850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaba4…3fa6backed Over45c35.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over35c34.4$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.25350.9%27 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+53.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under57c30.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.216948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9578…1597backed Under70c28.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under55c26.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Over43c26.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over48c26.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.571323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under57c26.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under65c26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.122042.7%94 W · 126 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under66c24.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.493354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Over56c23.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.311866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under70c17.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.344757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Under66c15.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.