Mls · resolved market
Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76b6c99e564f98b3ef4c0b0001e5c935802c6cb926546001628ff0ffa873eec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 17,519$10,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050.91 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 10,915$5,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 39c | 3,795$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.08 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 44c | 2,899$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.76 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 2,830$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.22 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 1,958$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.06 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.98 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 44c | 1,759$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 1,619$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 33c | 1,182$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 51c | 1,036$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 1,007$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.1 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 46c | 939.13$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 34c | 830.11$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.56 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Under | 52c | 815.54$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 52c | 812.69$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 24c | 650.24$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.82 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 55c | 640.31$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.14 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 522$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.68 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 55c | 485.97$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 460.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…92e9backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 72c | 365.06$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 71c | 347.59$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 36c | 268.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 65c | 204$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 33c | 179.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 44c | 171.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 55c | 168.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 56c | 166.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 162.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 25c | 159.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 41c | 136.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +27.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 64c | 131.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 71c | 131$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Under | 69c | 130.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 44c | 122.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 35c | 120.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 119$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 45c | 117$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 42c | 115.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 102.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 47c | 100.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 99.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…7fd6backed Over | 33c | 97.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 56c | 87.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 54c | 86.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Over | 56c | 82.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 35c | 80.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 45c | 78.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 78.5$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 34c | 76.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 47c | 71.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Over | 45c | 70.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 71c | 69.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 51.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 56c | 48.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 56c | 47.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 38c | 43.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 42c | 40.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 43c | 39.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 36.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Over | 45c | 35.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 35c | 34.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 57c | 30.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…1597backed Under | 70c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 43c | 26.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 48c | 26.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 66c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 56c | 23.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 70c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 66c | 15.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.