TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seattle Sounders FCof Portland Timbers, Seattle Sounders FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Portland Timbers8c1,786$137 inLost-$137.3587154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Seattle Sounders FC78c1,480$1,158 inWon+$322.0798945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Portland Timbers17c600$102 inLost-$1022133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Portland Timbers23c457.96$105 inLost-$105.338760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Portland Timbers23c217.39$50 inLost-$5024326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…54f2backed Portland Timbers27c185.19$50 inLost-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Portland Timbers10c178$18 inLost-$17.84955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Timbers24c175.6$43 inLost-$42.633,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x259b…a2d3backed Portland Timbers23c173.91$40 inLost-$402516%4 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Portland Timbers24c104.17$25 inLost-$2510338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Seattle Sounders FC75c97.55$73 inWon+$24.836145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Portland Timbers20c75$15 inLost-$15.3535247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Seattle Sounders FC75c52.29$39 inWon+$13.1519852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Portland Timbers23c50$11 inLost-$11.2544447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Portland Timbers23c50$11 inLost-$11.2536646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Portland Timbers25c45.68$11 inLost-$11.427460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Portland Timbers25c40$10 inLost-$105525.5%14 W · 41 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Seattle Sounders FC75c34$26 inWon+$8.535550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Seattle Sounders FC76c18$14 inWon+$4.321,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Seattle Sounders FC80c16.19$13 inWon+$3.3212850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.