Mls · resolved market
Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd9fcac28a30a57444e1c91f30f765cf3bb8d5886141951bf952356dc778c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 34c | 3,101$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.27 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 796$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 66c | 708$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 601.86$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…7fd6backed Yes | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 452.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.97 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 34c | 293$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 66c | 189.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbe…8807backed Yes | 55c | 181.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 41c | 121.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 66c | 110.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 45c | 98.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked No | 39c | 93.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Yes | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 65c | 78.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 67c | 75.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 66c | 54.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 38.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 66c | 35.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 66c | 27.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 15.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Portland Timbers O/U 2.5Under won
- Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC: Seattle Sounders FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)Seattle Sounders FC won
- Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)Portland Timbers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.