Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94c31eb4f7faa817e2978efca32d65c91382a300965dac8599b21d08d34fcb14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 42c | 9,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 56c | 3,547$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.96 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 48c | 2,744$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.96 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 46c | 1,865$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.45 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 1,747$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 46c | 1,304$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 60c | 1,157$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.55 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 66c | 900.84$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 51c | 805.31$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.6 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…df5fbacked Under | 65c | 769.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 58c | 625$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 57c | 625$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.67 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 548.08$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 35c | 510.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.68 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 56c | 297.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 230.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 59c | 224.54$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 36c | 172.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb9…dd8ebacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 152.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 59c | 128.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 54c | 113.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 64c | 108.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 70c | 104.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 97.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 38c | 96.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Over | 55c | 93.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 54c | 90.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 34c | 88.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 67c | 76.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Over | 54c | 76.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 67c | 74.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 36c | 72.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 71c | 68.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 63c | 53.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Under | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…511dbacked Over | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 52c | 48.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Under | 47c | 44.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…9e45backed Under | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 60c | 36.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…1a3bbacked Over | 75c | 18.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Over | 75c | 18.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 66c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.