Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0332566251eeb0dafe2b05aab37167002a317f4f89548af95e1768db15004aa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 4,824$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 2,993$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.83 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 15c | 1,722$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 1,068$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 788.46$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.71 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 748.63$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 595.09$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 585.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 16c | 515.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 60c | 513$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 486.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 58c | 350$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 304.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 42c | 203.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 78c | 188.91$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 26c | 143.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 137$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 97.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 41c | 93.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 60c | 81.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 42c | 58.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 42c | 36.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 42c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 42c | 31.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 56c | 25.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Over | 61c | 24.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 60c | 24.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 78c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 5.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: Tromsø IL O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.