Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d21bd3439c0fdb5f0a604478081a07b0b42c2dea24b2b733505e8065866e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d5…8bd4backed No | 3c | 893.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 66c | 819.78$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.3 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 2c | 749.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed Yes | 44c | 704.48$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.12 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…717ebacked Yes | 72c | 582.76$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 558.3$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 14c | 502.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 10c | 482.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 24c | 382.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 373.64$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 340.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 327.11$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.02 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 27c | 301.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.52 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 44c | 279.94$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 8c | 271.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 40c | 263.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed Yes | 35c | 257.74$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 49c | 256.37$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 55c | 233.45$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 43c | 231.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 41c | 223.21$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…7343backed Yes | 49c | 213.88$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 32c | 204.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 5c | 202.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…ef63backed No | 75c | 201.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 199.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 48c | 195.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 29c | 179.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 40c | 174.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…fc1dbacked Yes | 43c | 144.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 73c | 132.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…f31cbacked Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 37c | 123.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 27c | 122.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 25c | 121.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 116.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 44c | 115.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…a917backed Yes | 48c | 115.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 113.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…b11bbacked Yes | 18c | 108$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 33c | 106$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 105.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 58c | 102.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 49c | 95.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 95.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed Yes | 39c | 92.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3862…aa32backed Yes | 36c | 92.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 34c | 87.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 64c | 87.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.94 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 86.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 29c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked No | 61c | 82.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 41c | 78.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 58c | 72.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 56c | 69.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 31c | 63.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 61c | 62.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x265a…ca42backed Yes | 41c | 60.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 39c | 58.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 21c | 57.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 43c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…f4d1backed Yes | 35c | 55.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…e7fdbacked Yes | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…a372backed Yes | 42c | 51.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 23c | 51.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 35c | 51.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…0244backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…644dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539e…8d25backed Yes | 51c | 49.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 28c | 48.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…b6d3backed Yes | 23c | 48.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…0ea8backed Yes | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 46.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…b1b1backed Yes | 41c | 46.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d485backed Yes | 41c | 44.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked Yes | 35c | 42.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 57c | 42.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…2d2cbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 75c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 57c | 41.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 29c | 41.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 42c | 40.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 25c | 40.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…86cbbacked No | 76c | 39.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.