Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d8281d577d35f35861ce7059d81de08d3dc2ffa5d99466d80df04b1ee3dfa8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f65…9524backed Yes | 0c | 19,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 9,121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 11c | 1,385$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.89 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 13c | 1,155$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.14 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…8508backed Yes | 15c | 1,018$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 4c | 733.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1203…3947backed No | 74c | 722.82$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 156 | 39.7%62 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 7c | 700.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 10c | 532.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 25c | 432.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed Yes | 23c | 333.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 25c | 324.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 16c | 304.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c151backed Yes | 21c | 301.75$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 15c | 291.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b0…bd29backed Yes | 8c | 272.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 21c | 271.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 11c | 270.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 11c | 260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 27c | 250$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…6d71backed No | 76c | 244.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 235.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 14c | 224.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 35c | 198.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 187.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 184.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 19c | 175$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…de02backed Yes | 15c | 170.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed Yes | 21c | 155.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 79c | 139.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 139.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…2d2cbacked No | 76c | 131.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 122.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 12c | 114$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…a917backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 88.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 32c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 22c | 77.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 75.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 17c | 72.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 21c | 68.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 66.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 79c | 64.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…446fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a7…f4d1backed Yes | 26c | 59.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265a…ca42backed Yes | 31c | 59.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Yes | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 79c | 57.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 72c | 51.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 74c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 68c | 49.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 32c | 45.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 26c | 44.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…b1b1backed Yes | 29c | 44.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…b6d3backed Yes | 25c | 44.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…2e9cbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 41.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 40.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…0171backed Yes | 29c | 40.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…9c8cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked No | 76c | 39.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 78c | 36.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…86cbbacked No | 76c | 32.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…0705backed Yes | 33c | 30.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…8b41backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 28.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…f098backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 63c | 25.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 62c | 23.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 66c | 22.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 74c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 15.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.