TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof LOUD, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,254 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8430…3961backed LOUD18c3,746$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6802429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD46c3,643$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.240944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG62c2,592$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.5989344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed LOUD41c2,411$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.249371%66 W · 27 L+15.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG53c2,285$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.6552455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed LOUD45c1,970$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.644240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed LOUD50c1,565$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.7225752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG62c1,274$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed LOUD48c1,234$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3654851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…ffd8backed NRG68c1,103$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.971361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed LOUD53c1,020$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.672050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed LOUD52c946.27$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.817455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked NRG41c772.95$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.783540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed LOUD43c737.56$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1514850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG58c706.15$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.051,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG63c642.52$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.261,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD49c600.69$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.741,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked LOUD32c539.23$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17136138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOUD34c500.34$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.811,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG49c457.06$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.471,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked NRG54c434.34$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2510238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed NRG71c421.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.271154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0115…2552backed LOUD31c325.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked LOUD29c311.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LOUD42c287.83$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.251,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed LOUD29c287.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.462070%14 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked LOUD19c251.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0424032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e5…c8d1backed LOUD38c232.53$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.277949.4%39 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed LOUD45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-59.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG59c209.56$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8285138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x677d…53f0backed NRG67c209.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.785100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd933…6a68backed LOUD19c200.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked LOUD27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed NRG37c200$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12514737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed LOUD35c199.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9310225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed LOUD37c193.82$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.381926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed NRG70c180.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD30c174.11$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2328740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed NRG62c170.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.975238.5%20 W · 32 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed LOUD44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NRG52c165.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.391333.2%303 W · 610 L-89.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked NRG58c158.22$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.588848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed NRG61c134.12$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0618647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed NRG77c129.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.79366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked LOUD15c123$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed LOUD39c122.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9318056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD33c119.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67623.7%18 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed NRG63c119.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43850%19 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NRG58c105$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.163652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed NRG65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.619439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked NRG61c101.88$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.72763%17 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed LOUD33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed NRG69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318942.7%38 W · 51 L-13.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed NRG66c98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9428241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7528151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed NRG41c92.82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.552166.7%14 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed LOUD55c91.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked LOUD34c89.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.630652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bd83backed LOUD49c79.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed NRG50c78.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.265240.4%21 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NRG50c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6599945.9%459 W · 540 L-27.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…d35abacked LOUD15c73.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…7069backed NRG67c73.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.646969.6%48 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed LOUD42c71.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed NRG61c71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6922455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed NRG62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed LOUD56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed NRG60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed NRG79c49.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.394744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed LOUD40c48.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.577852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed LOUD50c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.523836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LOUD49c39.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4193649.3%461 W · 475 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2179…eee0backed NRG39c36.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.187100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed LOUD42c34.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.459942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed NRG62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2620547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed NRG55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed NRG77c26.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.14955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked NRG54c25.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.635337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed LOUD63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6830544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ce…3273backed NRG56c24.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b2…a4f6backed LOUD44c23.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x673e…b0d0backed LOUD56c21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…08a1backed NRG72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed NRG68c17.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6513456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked NRG69c15.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8318261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked NRG67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9512159.5%72 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.