TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof LOUD, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$231,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG79c26,045$20,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,352.2352455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked NRG79c21,790$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,590.2929555.9%165 W · 130 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed LOUD20c15,198$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095.7754851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed NRG79c12,452$9,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.624240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LOUD15c8,252$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.839442.4%167 W · 227 L+18.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed NRG75c6,716$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.222962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD22c6,398$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.4528541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked LOUD24c5,673$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.673852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LOUD26c4,943$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.6679044.3%350 W · 440 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked LOUD21c3,595$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.7818348.1%88 W · 95 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed LOUD17c3,466$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.0846826.7%125 W · 343 L-25.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed NRG79c3,312$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.6815942.8%68 W · 91 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked NRG79c3,243$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.831637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c93…2079backed NRG78c3,139$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.232347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed NRG78c3,101$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.974348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed NRG79c2,888$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.696256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed LOUD20c2,544$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.7941537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked LOUD21c2,441$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.693246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked NRG78c2,082$1,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.297940.5%32 W · 47 L-15.6wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-39.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked LOUD22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked NRG75c2,000$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed LOUD24c2,000$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.84438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked LOUD17c1,984$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.333153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed LOUD22c1,905$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5442540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed LOUD30c1,897$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.523151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed LOUD21c1,848$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.46633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked NRG72c1,750$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.191338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked NRG77c1,725$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.716259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed LOUD19c1,706$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed LOUD21c1,573$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.47342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD32c1,559$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.981,42851.2%731 W · 697 L+48.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed NRG80c1,544$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1911255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed NRG79c1,501$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked LOUD21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe387…4496backed LOUD9c1,480$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed LOUD23c1,475$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.4411643.1%50 W · 66 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked NRG79c1,344$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.39052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked NRG80c1,251$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.742152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed NRG79c1,228$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.885347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed NRG78c1,211$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked LOUD2c1,210$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d72…02d0backed LOUD20c1,192$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.351520%3 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked LOUD22c1,122$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029833.2%99 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG72c1,097$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.261,31843.9%578 W · 740 L-44.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG76c1,026$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.981,28432.1%412 W · 872 L-67.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed NRG74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed LOUD5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23024457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked LOUD23c999.97$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.992138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed NRG72c997.61$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.093951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bd83backed LOUD25c982.29$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked LOUD22c907.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063056.3%355 W · 275 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed NRG78c896.62$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked LOUD23c837.32$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7818651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed NRG80c836.25$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.624639.1%18 W · 28 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6170…03bdbacked LOUD24c830.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001675%12 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked LOUD21c808.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.032347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed LOUD21c762.57$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.1412238.5%47 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked NRG76c758.37$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.372744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked LOUD22c758.11$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2231035.2%109 W · 201 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked LOUD21c720.78$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3590244.3%400 W · 502 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6612…95e6backed LOUD21c695.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked LOUD22c682$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.042857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed LOUD21c620.46$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.716750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed NRG78c615$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-84%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked LOUD26c611.11$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3935142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed LOUD22c595.41$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed NRG76c595.02$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5932152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed LOUD23c594.3$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7226932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed LOUD19c592.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2955142.3%233 W · 318 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed LOUD22c574.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2423732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed NRG73c554.26$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.144168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked NRG79c544.3$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.315443.5%67 W · 87 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e5…8ce3backed LOUD28c536.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed LOUD25c525.97$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.55728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dec…53b0backed LOUD30c518.54$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…16b1backed LOUD19c513$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed NRG79c512.82$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.696363.5%40 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed NRG79c507.87$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.656139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed NRG76c500.1$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0225453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked NRG79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10513743.1%59 W · 78 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed NRG76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014032.9%46 W · 94 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed LOUD5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519439.2%76 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed LOUD22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104926.5%13 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed NRG76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed LOUD22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028940.8%118 W · 171 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed NRG78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked NRG79c497.95$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.572751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed NRG77c467.21$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4919656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG74c460$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8413759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked LOUD15c455.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.415145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked LOUD22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…2552backed LOUD26c451$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked NRG65c415.34$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8916034.4%55 W · 105 L-13.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed LOUD49c409.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked NRG79c407.59$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.593770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1179…8bc2backed NRG79c405.06$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.06977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked LOUD20c404.14$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LOUD26c403.41$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.321,26149.6%625 W · 636 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.