CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa1a0c6719ebdaa6f7386d9c90189a0b53cf88a741164fcab3bf5d4b9a5c082b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Fluxo W7M | 9c | 4,167$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.12 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Fluxo W7M | 13c | 2,403$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.91 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MIBR | 61c | 1,958$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.53 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 1,928$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.86 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Fluxo W7M | 39c | 1,777$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.08 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6d…2f1abacked Fluxo W7M | 7c | 1,757$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 20c | 1,414$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 1,228$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.09 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Fluxo W7M | 2c | 1,227$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed MIBR | 65c | 1,172$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.77 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Fluxo W7M | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed MIBR | 64c | 866.06$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.78 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Fluxo W7M | 3c | 799.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Fluxo W7M | 10c | 743.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR | 80c | 727.36$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed MIBR | 69c | 719.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.32 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 700.4$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Fluxo W7M | 29c | 634.35$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.29 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Fluxo W7M | 13c | 494.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…e095backed Fluxo W7M | 52c | 484.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M | 8c | 439.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Fluxo W7M | 30c | 429.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Fluxo W7M | 13c | 405.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked MIBR | 70c | 382.93$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked MIBR | 55c | 307.64$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Fluxo W7M | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed MIBR | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Fluxo W7M | 30c | 267$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed MIBR | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bb…9a49backed MIBR | 61c | 247.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fluxo W7M | 33c | 239.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M | 9c | 233.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Fluxo W7M | 26c | 202.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…8b01backed Fluxo W7M | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 198.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked MIBR | 59c | 193$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fluxo W7M | 29c | 171.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Fluxo W7M | 48c | 156.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Fluxo W7M | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Fluxo W7M | 28c | 129.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MIBR | 60c | 128.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…121bbacked MIBR | 63c | 126.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…bf7abacked MIBR | 62c | 124.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed MIBR | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed MIBR | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed MIBR | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed MIBR | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo W7M | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Fluxo W7M | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked MIBR | 55c | 96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7947…ac07backed MIBR | 56c | 87.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Fluxo W7M | 19c | 80.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fluxo W7M | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MIBR | 70c | 73.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…b83cbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 58.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 53.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Fluxo W7M | 31c | 49.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed MIBR | 58c | 44.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed MIBR | 67c | 41.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Fluxo W7M | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Fluxo W7M | 43c | 40.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Fluxo W7M | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Fluxo W7M | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed MIBR | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 323 | 61.6%199 W · 124 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked MIBR | 65c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked MIBR | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6744backed MIBR | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc5…9fcfbacked MIBR | 61c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed MIBR | 65c | 22.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed MIBR | 60c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked MIBR | 62c | 16.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.