MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe169ff7e9b20f6f3fc474c19cc033228f21df72f57d5afd1e166c06d6b466810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Los Angeles Dodgers, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 7,777$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 6,612$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 3,643$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.69 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 2,703$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.26 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 2,109$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ef…372cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 999.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.77 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 670.75$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 638.94$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.86 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…8c93backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 624$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 485.49$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 339.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 284.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5672backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 201.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ef…9a9fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 178.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 178.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 123$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 121.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 113.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 107.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 96.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.35 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…6bc6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 48.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 41.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 38.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 28.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebc…095fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 28.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.