TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc72d…fc21backed No68c12,860$8,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.234062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes32c12,622$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,038.981546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c3,126$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.5998945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c2,284$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.5770249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes3c2,126$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.288032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cb…3d72backed No70c2,067$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c1,701$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.191,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes60c1,518$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.696460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No74c1,204$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.0699340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No43c895.7$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.791926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Yes31c802.92$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x768b…bf0fbacked Yes32c783.5$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c777.72$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes29c674.12$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4953040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked No75c660.79$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes51c492.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes50c480$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.131752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes42c460.38$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7335247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes73c460$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.744346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No62c450.59$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.081,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28029370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No47c367$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.099540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes47c349.99$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No79c311.5$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c301.85$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes32c295$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.432848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes30c276$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.852923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes18c261.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No69c254.75$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes13c247.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.171,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes35c241$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.194247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes24c205.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes32c203$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes31c186.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No33c180.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1710840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No41c178.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0313464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes66c176.3$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.837074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes43c170$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.837564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes31c154.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1901…31cebacked No69c135.21$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Yes30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No36c127.03$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed No75c125.6$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44780.9%38 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+14.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0363…d67abacked Yes14c125.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes26c118.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.366339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No71c117.42$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.597263.9%46 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes32c116.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.182817.9%5 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-57%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes55c113.7$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No71c107.02$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.046145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No77c104.56$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6244350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes31c101.04$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.829747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No23c89.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9114549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes31c82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.111,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes57c80.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3244447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes31c77.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.144746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes19c75.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5726050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes21c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No67c74.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.844566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No69c72.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4610338.8%40 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No64c70.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2731446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed No69c70.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.833262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked No69c70.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.835068%34 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes25c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.73426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed No70c69.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.831675%12 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes51c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f7…3ea6backed Yes30c65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+82%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes31c61.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111848.3%57 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed No69c58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.982060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes42c56.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6427344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfedf…60f1backed No21c53.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked No70c51.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.433571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed No68c51.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.332770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.9wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+71.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.723174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes29c49.54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4610753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No26c48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5220252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes30c41.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed No69c40.17$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.613534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c38.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.993,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Yes51c36.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.671233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes30c33.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.126450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes33c33.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Yes67c31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.775733.3%19 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf903…0608backed No68c30.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+251.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3533346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.716948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No71c29.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5412850%64 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…0ff5backed No70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.578100%8 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No64c27.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.047659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed No70c27.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed No70c27.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.333557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd6…cfdebacked No70c27.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.