Mls · resolved market
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c642fd76ba989bea1106e8d4257d01d9d0af8ca1e6357ef1b4129da4062415b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 53c | 11,552$6,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,162.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed No | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 53c | 6,888$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.22 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 6,528$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.57 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Yes | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 48c | 4,308$2,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.91 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 3,640$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.62 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 59c | 2,921$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.59 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 2,893$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.91 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 48c | 2,888$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.8 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,861$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.38 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Yes | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 55c | 2,719$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.23 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 2,504$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.37 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 32c | 2,457$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.58 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,344$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…5f55backed Yes | 48c | 2,028$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,997$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 12c | 1,939$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 77c | 1,812$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.26 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 49c | 1,789$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.6 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 54c | 1,663$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.34 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,574$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.16 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes | 46c | 1,563$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,563$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,536$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.57 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 53c | 1,304$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.21 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 74c | 1,300$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.78 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 14c | 1,175$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 33c | 1,096$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.58 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 52c | 1,030$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Yes | 46c | 980$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed No | 57c | 966.54$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.49 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 52c | 951.05$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.01 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 36c | 792$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.93 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 54c | 727.93$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 13c | 679.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 656$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 51c | 649.99$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9654backed Yes | 46c | 625$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 34c | 610$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.03 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 55c | 499$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…b81dbacked Yes | 57c | 483.03$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yes | 46c | 469$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes | 46c | 452.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 451.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.88 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 73c | 403.81$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 68c | 400$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.26 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 46c | 390.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 380.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 370.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 322.06$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.01 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed Yes | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 48c | 319.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 42c | 310$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked No | 55c | 310$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Yes | 49c | 283.2$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 41c | 262.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 258$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.27 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 31c | 250.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.42 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…07d3backed No | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Yes | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 75c | 213.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Yes | 46c | 213$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…4420backed Yes | 48c | 204.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Yes | 49c | 195.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…ced5backed No | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 32c | 189.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 65c | 170$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Yes | 45c | 166.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 33cpaid | +103%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 46c | 156$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…acc4backed No | 52c | 153.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 58c | 153.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 19c | 152.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 52c | 147.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.15 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 48c | 147.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 53c | 138$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 53c | 137.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed No | 53c | 130.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5040…ac99backed Yes | 25c | 124.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 123.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked No | 52c | 114.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 45c | 109.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 36c | 107.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 104.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.