Dota2 · resolved market
Team Liquid to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e88801ab08ccf02542c6069b1df74e33fac4562c58dc4309875238f9e42d3ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 38c | 3,133$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.41 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 48c | 2,266$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 24c | 1,231$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.16 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 63c | 1,005$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.27 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 46c | 861.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 54c | 833.79$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Yes | 53c | 755.58$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.58 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 69c | 667.08$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 40c | 615.08$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 23c | 590.16$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 60c | 502$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 77c | 478.18$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 77c | 460.56$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…3128backed Yes | 80c | 375.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 61c | 352.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Yes | 54c | 331.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 66c | 300.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked No | 46c | 296.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 51c | 279$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 52c | 234$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 56c | 226.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed No | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 63c | 202.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9d50backed Yes | 54c | 185.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Yes | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 62c | 156.69$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked No | 42c | 154.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 57c | 126.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Yes | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 62c | 117.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Yes | 56c | 107.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…3f0abacked Yes | 62c | 93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked No | 46c | 92.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Yes | 68c | 81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 42c | 72.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 64.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 38c | 58.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 57.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…4b0ebacked Yes | 79c | 57.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 77cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yes | 53c | 56.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Yes | 54c | 55.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Yes | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…b815backed Yes | 72c | 41.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4420…5658backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 37c | 37.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Yes | 58c | 31.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 49c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 28.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…b9dfbacked Yes | 56c | 27.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…5a16backed Yes | 56c | 21.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Liquid to win 2-0?this page
- GamerLegion to win 2-0?No won
- Team Liquid vs GamerLegion: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.