Lol · resolved market
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b752a7441ea5a1318eea61d84d685a24204e6c184fbd12c5e9fe641dc10699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof UCAM Esports Club, Movistar KOI Fénix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2518…254fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 53c | 8,110$4,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,279.24 | 532 | 55.1%293 W · 239 L | +23.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 62c | 8,105$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.06 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed UCAM Esports Club | 23c | 5,915$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.47 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed UCAM Esports Club | 40c | 4,999$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.75 | 1,379 | 37.7%520 W · 859 L | -43.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed UCAM Esports Club | 11c | 1,516$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 1,500$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.73 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 56c | 1,265$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.78 | 338 | 56.2%190 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 46c | 1,186$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.98 | 653 | 59.4%388 W · 265 L | +70.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 40c | 1,175$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.7 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 57c | 874.24$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.76 | 1,536 | 54.8%842 W · 694 L | +75.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed UCAM Esports Club | 47c | 638.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 772 | 46.2%357 W · 415 L | +18.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 54c | 601.13$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.74 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed UCAM Esports Club | 46c | 556.96$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.77 | 698 | 57.4%401 W · 297 L | +37.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 60c | 489.61$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 50c | 441.21$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.89 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked UCAM Esports Club | 29c | 354.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 52c | 342.4$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 1,930 | 48.2%930 W · 1,000 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed UCAM Esports Club | 36c | 320.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 345 | 58.3%201 W · 144 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 38c | 300$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 433 | 46.7%202 W · 231 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 24c | 267.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 242.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 1,397 | 43.7%611 W · 786 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 56c | 213.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 624 | 39.7%248 W · 376 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 182.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…1048backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 172.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked UCAM Esports Club | 58c | 170.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 274 | 46%126 W · 148 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked UCAM Esports Club | 42c | 151.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 1,042 | 39.6%413 W · 629 L | -73.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 141.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +31.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 49c | 131.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 409 | 55.5%227 W · 182 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef9…3d08backed UCAM Esports Club | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -15.5wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 128.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 266 | 30.8%82 W · 184 L | -26.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed UCAM Esports Club | 52c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1,622 | 46.7%757 W · 865 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked UCAM Esports Club | 51c | 109.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed UCAM Esports Club | 53c | 100.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed UCAM Esports Club | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 520 | 45%234 W · 286 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 424 | 51.2%217 W · 207 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UCAM Esports Club | 35c | 88.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b21…1f5cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 58c | 86.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1,301 | 47.2%614 W · 687 L | -32.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 42c | 78.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed UCAM Esports Club | 47c | 74.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…ef2bbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 72.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 645 | 56.6%365 W · 280 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 59.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 463 | 62.6%290 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 52c | 51.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…85ecbacked UCAM Esports Club | 47c | 50.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 48c | 47.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 59c | 45.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | +23.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed UCAM Esports Club | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked UCAM Esports Club | 49c | 44.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +16.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…dfa9backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 60c | 43.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 54c | 41.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…cae0backed UCAM Esports Club | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 419 | 47%197 W · 222 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed UCAM Esports Club | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed UCAM Esports Club | 52c | 35.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 33.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 404 | 50.5%204 W · 200 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 32.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…49c9backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 39c | 29.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xbc99…e38bbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 58c | 27.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 55c | 26.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 46c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 567 | 43.7%248 W · 319 L | -44.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,054 | 47.2%497 W · 557 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 300 | 42.7%128 W · 172 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)UCAM Esports Club won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.