Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c67949bf2f611076eb79c6b24f6b8dcbf3d63d3621c7096b886078921acdb4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 0c | 18,389$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 1c | 11,770$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,687.07 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…68a2backed Yes | 0c | 11,698$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,651.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6,262.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed No | 1c | 9,880$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116d…fbf1backed Yes | 71c | 8,136$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.88 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed No | 1c | 4,400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 18c | 3,988$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.94 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…82b3backed No | 56c | 2,229$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a1…b6d5backed No | 2c | 1,871$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked No | 2c | 1,554$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fa45backed No | 4c | 1,368$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 27c | 1,219$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.91 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 27c | 1,046$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.26 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 6c | 981.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 17c | 914.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2e…f1a2backed Yes | 5c | 851.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +973.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 1c | 799.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 709.85$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 15c | 651.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.06 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 69c | 499.06$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.16 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 28c | 469.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 9c | 360.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d2…ef4dbacked Yes | 59c | 338.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 14c | 332.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.86 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…5912backed Yes | 7c | 302.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.73 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 22c | 244.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 36c | 223.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…b143backed Yes | 79c | 188.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 14c | 167.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 35c | 119.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 41c | 109.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 12c | 103.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 63c | 99.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed Yes | 69c | 99.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 32c | 97.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84d…5e65backed Yes | 42c | 89.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 85.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 41c | 80.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 40c | 75.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 29c | 71.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 65.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…20e0backed Yes | 61c | 65.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 23c | 65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 62.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 58.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…cd97backed Yes | 20c | 57.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +116.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…d4bfbacked Yes | 68c | 54.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…e7fdbacked Yes | 40c | 54.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 63c | 54.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acd…3a4fbacked No | 24c | 50.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…18e5backed No | 68c | 50.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…53c8backed No | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 72 | 77.8%56 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 73c | 48.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 58c | 46.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…ea9fbacked Yes | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 42c | 43.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…ad49backed Yes | 75c | 40.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 60c | 40.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked No | 80c | 38.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed Yes | 67c | 36.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…b1b1backed Yes | 64c | 34.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…aef2backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 65c | 29.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 48c | 26.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 74c | 26.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 78c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 24.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed Yes | 62c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9954…b725backed No | 46c | 23.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…06bebacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 55c | 21.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 63c | 16.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 70c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…35c4backed Yes | 77c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or higher on May 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.